Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Defensores de Cambaceres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Juventud Unida San Miguel1.06
Defensores de Cambaceres0.85
1X2
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Draw
Defensores de Cambaceres
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Juventud Unida San Miguel
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Cambaceres
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juventud Unida San Miguel
3–1–2
Defensores de Cambaceres
(6 last)
- Defensores de Cambaceres3-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-2Juventud Unida San Miguel
- Juventud Unida San Miguel1-2Defensores de Cambaceres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1506 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1460
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | Draw | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 39% | 33% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.91 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud Unida San Miguel (rating 1506 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Juventud Unida San Miguel: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 3.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 6.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Unida San Miguel 3–1–2 Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
| 13/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
| 22/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 08/10/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 02/07/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
| 28/05/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Centro Espanol | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Club Mercedes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 29 |
| 6 | CA Lugano | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 29 |
| 7 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 28 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 27 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juventud Unida San Miguel | Defensores de Cambaceres |
|---|---|---|
| Sacachispas | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Argentino de Rosario | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Berazategui | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Victoriano Arenas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Centro Espanol | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| JJ Urquiza | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Mercedes | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juventud Unida San Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 15/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 31/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventud Unida San Miguel win (39%). Probabilities: Juventud Unida San Miguel 39%, draw 34%, Defensores de Cambaceres 28%.
How many goals are expected in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.06 · Defensores de Cambaceres 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.