Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/07, 20:00
Prediction: Sacachispas vs Club Leandro N. Alem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Sacachispas1.42
Club Leandro N. Alem0.74
1X2
Sacachispas
Draw
Club Leandro N. Alem
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sacachispas
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Club Leandro N. Alem
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sacachispas
1–0
Club Leandro N. Alem
(1 last)
- Club Leandro N. Alem0-5Sacachispas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1550 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1476
| Sacachispas | Draw | Club Leandro N. Alem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sacachispas (rating 1550 vs 1476).
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sacachispas | Club Leandro N. Alem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 1.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 1–0–0 Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Sacachispas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | Centro Espanol | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 18 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Argentino de Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 18 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sacachispas | Club Leandro N. Alem |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino de Rosario | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Berazategui | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Centro Espanol | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| JJ Urquiza | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sacachispas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 15/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 03/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 12/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sacachispas vs Club Leandro N. Alem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacachispas win (52%). Probabilities: Sacachispas 52%, draw 29%, Club Leandro N. Alem 19%.
How many goals are expected in Sacachispas vs Club Leandro N. Alem?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Sacachispas 1.42 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.74), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sacachispas vs Club Leandro N. Alem?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.