Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: Lujan vs Central Ballester
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Lujan1.62
Central Ballester0.83
1X2
Lujan
Draw
Central Ballester
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Lujan
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Central Ballester
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lujan
3–1–1
Central Ballester
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lujan 1593 · Central Ballester 1456
| Lujan | Draw | Central Ballester | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1593 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Lujan: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lujan | Central Ballester | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lujan 3–1–1 Central Ballester
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Lujan |
| 06/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Central Ballester |
| 22/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lujan |
| 12/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Central Ballester |
| 15/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Ballester | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lujan |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 20 |
| 13 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lujan | Central Ballester |
|---|---|---|
| Yupanqui | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| General Lamadrid | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Leones de Rosario | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Atlas | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Canuelas FC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Muniz | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Lujan (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lujan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Central Ballester
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lujan vs Central Ballester?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lujan win (55%). Probabilities: Lujan 55%, draw 28%, Central Ballester 17%.
How many goals are expected in Lujan vs Central Ballester?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Lujan 1.62 · Central Ballester 0.83), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lujan vs Central Ballester?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.