Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/07, 20:00
Prediction: Fenix vs Yupanqui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Fenix0.86
Yupanqui1.13
1X2
Fenix
Draw
Yupanqui
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Fenix
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Yupanqui
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fenix
0–1–0
Yupanqui
(1 last)
- Yupanqui0-0Fenix
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fenix 1496 · Yupanqui 1491
| Fenix | Draw | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 33% | 40% |
| Market | 27% | 32% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fenix | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenix 0–1–0 Yupanqui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fenix |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 23 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | Deportivo Muniz | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 21 |
| 13 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 14 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fenix | Yupanqui |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Lujan | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| General Lamadrid | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Leones de Rosario | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Muniz | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Fenix (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 15/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fenix vs Yupanqui?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yupanqui win (41%). Probabilities: Fenix 27%, draw 32%, Yupanqui 41%.
How many goals are expected in Fenix vs Yupanqui?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Fenix 0.86 · Yupanqui 1.13), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fenix vs Yupanqui?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.