Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: CA Atlas vs Deportivo Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
CA Atlas0.86
Deportivo Espanol0.85
1X2
CA Atlas
Draw
Deportivo Espanol
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atlas
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Espanol
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Atlas
0–3–3
Deportivo Espanol
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atlas 1532 · Deportivo Espanol 1531
| CA Atlas | Draw | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 37% | 31% |
| Market | 34% | 34% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Espanol: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlas | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.7 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlas 0–3–3 Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA Atlas |
| 11/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlas |
| 10/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 13/06/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA Atlas |
| 04/02/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 24/10/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 20 |
| 13 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Atlas | Deportivo Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Claypole | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Central Ballester | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| El Porvenir | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fenix | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 06/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlas vs Deportivo Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: CA Atlas 33%, draw 35%, Deportivo Espanol 32%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlas vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model expects 1.71 goals (CA Atlas 0.86 · Deportivo Espanol 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlas vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.