Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 17/07, 20:00
Prediction: Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.46Total
Deportivo Espanol0.89
Victoriano Arenas0.57
1X2
Deportivo Espanol
Draw
Victoriano Arenas
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Espanol
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Victoriano Arenas
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Espanol
2–4–0
Victoriano Arenas
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Espanol 1522 · Victoriano Arenas 1520
| Deportivo Espanol | Draw | Victoriano Arenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 39% | 21% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.46 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Espanol: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Espanol | Victoriano Arenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Espanol 2–4–0 Victoriano Arenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 23/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 27/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 25/06/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 18/02/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 24/07/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 27 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 14 | Fenix | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 17 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Espanol | Victoriano Arenas |
|---|---|---|
| Canuelas FC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Club Mercedes | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 06/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 13/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Victoriano Arenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 31/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Espanol win (42%). Probabilities: Deportivo Espanol 42%, draw 36%, Victoriano Arenas 22%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?
The model expects 1.46 goals (Deportivo Espanol 0.89 · Victoriano Arenas 0.57), with a 58% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Espanol vs Victoriano Arenas?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.