Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Canuelas FC vs Club Leandro N. Alem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Canuelas FC1.57
Club Leandro N. Alem0.67
1X2
Canuelas FC
Draw
Club Leandro N. Alem
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Canuelas FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Club Leandro N. Alem
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canuelas FC
2–3–1
Club Leandro N. Alem
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canuelas FC 1563 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1515
| Canuelas FC | Draw | Club Leandro N. Alem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 58% | 28% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1563 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Canuelas FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canuelas FC | Club Leandro N. Alem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 1.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canuelas FC 2–3–1 Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Canuelas FC |
| 21/10/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Canuelas FC |
| 03/02/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Canuelas FC |
| 26/08/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 26/02/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 24/09/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Canuelas FC |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 27 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Barracas | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 14 | Fenix | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canuelas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canuelas FC vs Club Leandro N. Alem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Canuelas FC win (58%). Probabilities: Canuelas FC 58%, draw 28%, Club Leandro N. Alem 14%.
How many goals are expected in Canuelas FC vs Club Leandro N. Alem?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Canuelas FC 1.57 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.67), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Canuelas FC vs Club Leandro N. Alem?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.