Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/07, 20:00
Prediction: Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Sportivo Barracas0.99
El Porvenir0.99
1X2
Sportivo Barracas
Draw
El Porvenir
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Barracas
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
El Porvenir
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Barracas
1–2–3
El Porvenir
(6 last)
- El Porvenir2-2Sportivo Barracas
- El Porvenir1-0Sportivo Barracas
- Sportivo Barracas0-0El Porvenir
- El Porvenir1-0Sportivo Barracas
- Sportivo Barracas2-1El Porvenir
- El Porvenir2-0Sportivo Barracas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Barracas 1479 · El Porvenir 1489
| Sportivo Barracas | Draw | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 34% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours El Porvenir: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Barracas | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Barracas 1–2–3 El Porvenir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 09/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 08/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 20/11/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 06/08/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | El Porvenir |
| 08/04/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| 2 | Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 33 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 28 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 25 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 20 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 23 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | Deportivo Muniz | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 21 |
| 13 | CA Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 21 |
| 14 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Barracas | El Porvenir |
|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| General Lamadrid | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Leones de Rosario | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Atlas | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Canuelas FC | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Muniz | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Barracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 13/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 29/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 06/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Sportivo Barracas 33%, draw 34%, El Porvenir 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Sportivo Barracas 0.99 · El Porvenir 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.