Prediction: Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo
Expected goals: 2.37 (Berazategui 1.66 · Puerto Nuevo 0.71). The model gives 59% home, 26% draw, 15% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Berazategui with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Puerto Nuevo has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Berazategui won 4 and Puerto Nuevo 2.
| Berazategui | Draw | Puerto Nuevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 26% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berazategui (rating 1553 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Berazategui: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Berazategui | Puerto Nuevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.9 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Berazategui 4–0–2 Puerto Nuevo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Berazategui |
| 27/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Berazategui |
| 12/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 07/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 05/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Berazategui |
| 25/09/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Centro Espanol | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Victoriano Arenas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 6 | CA Lugano | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 23 |
| 9 | Club Mercedes | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 22 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Berazategui | Puerto Nuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Lugano | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Victoriano Arenas | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Berazategui (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berazategui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 15/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Puerto Nuevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Berazategui win (59%). Probabilities: Berazategui 59%, draw 26%, Puerto Nuevo 15%.
How many goals are expected in Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Berazategui 1.66 · Puerto Nuevo 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Berazategui vs Puerto Nuevo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.