Prediction: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Club Leandro N. Alem

Expected goals: 2.31 (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.52 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.79). The model gives 53% home, 29% draw, 18% away. Over 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Club Leandro N. Alem arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn and 1 for Club Leandro N. Alem.

53%1
53% 29% 18%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1496 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1516
Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornDrawClub Leandro N. Alem
Our model53%28%18%
Market53%29%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.31Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.52 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.79
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Estrella del Sur Alejandro KornClub Leandro N. Alem
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 11.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.62 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.5 / 15.6 / 1.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 001 Club Leandro N. Alem

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
Club Leandro N. Alem3-2
HT 1-2
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Centro Espanol 17854 261429
2 Berazategui 17782 221229
3 Sacachispas 17845 211428
4 Victoriano Arenas 17674 161125
5 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 17674 181625
6 CA Lugano 17665 211724
7 Puerto Nuevo 17584 151823
8 Club Leandro N. Alem 17656 222923
9 Club Mercedes 17575 151022
10 Juventud Unida San Miguel 17566 181821
11 Defensores de Cambaceres 17557 141820
12 Argentino de Rosario 17296 172215
13 Deportivo Paraguayo 17368 102415
14 JJ Urquiza 17287 61814

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEstrella del Sur Alejandro KornClub Leandro N. Alem
CA Lugano 3-2 W 2-2 D
Berazategui 0-0 D 1-1 D
Victoriano Arenas 0-3 L 0-0 D
Centro Espanol 1-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

LWLDDWDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 3-0 26 W
14/06 Juventud Unida San Miguel
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 0-2 45 L
06/06 Sacachispas
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 513 D
30/05 Argentino de Rosario
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 712 D
23/05 CA Lugano
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-1 3-2 411 W
16/05 Yupanqui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 78 D
09/05 Berazategui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 77 D
03/05 Victoriano Arenas
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 0-3 56 L
26/04 Centro Espanol
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 39 W
19/04 Canuelas FC
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 0-2 28 L

Club Leandro N. Alem

LDWWWLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Berazategui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 38 D
13/06 Victoriano Arenas
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 35 D
06/06 Centro Espanol
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-2 0-3 L
31/05 JJ Urquiza
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 2-0 69 W
23/05 Club Mercedes
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 0-2 16 L
17/05 Deportivo Muniz
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 45 W
10/05 Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-2 4-2 55 W
03/05 Puerto Nuevo
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
2-0 4-1 49 W
25/04 CA Lugano
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 2-2 49 D
19/04 Central Ballester
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (53%). Probabilities: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 53%, draw 29%, Club Leandro N. Alem 18%.

How many goals are expected in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.52 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.79), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Club Leandro N. Alem?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.