Prediction: Sacachispas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Expected goals: 1.95 (Sacachispas 1.23 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.72). The model gives 48% home, 32% draw, 21% away. Under 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Recent form leaves Sacachispas with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Juventud Unida San Miguel has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Sacachispas and 0 for Juventud Unida San Miguel.

48%1
48% 32% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1528 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1509
SacachispasDrawJuventud Unida San Miguel
Our model47%32%20%
Market48%31%21%
Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.95Sacachispas 1.23 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.72
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SacachispasJuventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.61.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 00.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/70/0%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.11.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.34.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 100 Juventud Unida San Miguel

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
Juventud Unida San Miguel0-1
HT 0-1
Sacachispas

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Centro Espanol 17854 261429
2 Berazategui 17782 221229
3 Sacachispas 17845 211428
4 Victoriano Arenas 17674 161125
5 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 17674 181625
6 CA Lugano 17665 211724
7 Puerto Nuevo 17584 151823
8 Club Leandro N. Alem 17656 222923
9 Club Mercedes 17575 151022
10 Juventud Unida San Miguel 17566 181821
11 Defensores de Cambaceres 17557 141820
12 Argentino de Rosario 17296 172215
13 Deportivo Paraguayo 17368 102415
14 JJ Urquiza 17287 61814

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSacachispasJuventud Unida San Miguel
Argentino de Rosario 1-0 W 3-0 W
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0-0 D 2-0 W
Berazategui 1-0 W 1-2 L
Victoriano Arenas 0-1 L 1-1 D
Centro Espanol 1-1 D 3-2 W
JJ Urquiza 0-0 D 0-1 L
Club Mercedes 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sacachispas

WDDDWLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 CA Lugano
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 18 L
15/06 Argentino de Rosario
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 65 W
06/06 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 413 D
03/06 Berazategui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 1-0 45 W
25/05 Victoriano Arenas
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 04 L
17/05 CA Claypole
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 3-0 28 W
11/05 Centro Espanol
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 1-1 52 D
04/05 JJ Urquiza
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 25 D
26/04 Club Mercedes
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 54 D
17/04 Deportivo Espanol
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 4-3 28 W

Juventud Unida San Miguel

DLDLWWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Argentino de Rosario
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 3-0 55 W
14/06 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 2-0 55 W
08/06 Berazategui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 1-2 L
31/05 Victoriano Arenas
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 1-1 34 D
23/05 Centro Espanol
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-1 3-2 46 W
16/05 El Porvenir
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 1-0 02 W
09/05 JJ Urquiza
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 35 L
03/05 Club Mercedes
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-1 1-1 37 D
25/04 Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
2-1 2-3 66 L
18/04 Deportivo Muniz
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 15 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sacachispas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacachispas win (48%). Probabilities: Sacachispas 48%, draw 32%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sacachispas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Sacachispas 1.23 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sacachispas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.