Prediction: Lujan vs Fenix
Expected goals: 2.03 (Lujan 1.43 · Fenix 0.61). The model gives 57% home, 28% draw, 15% away. Under 2 goals (52%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Lujan is 7-2-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Fenix 2-2-6 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Lujan and 0 for Fenix, with 1 draw.
| Lujan | Draw | Fenix | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 15% |
| Market | 57% | 28% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1575 vs 1441).
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lujan | Fenix | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.6 | 6.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lujan 0–1–0 Fenix
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Fenix | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lujan |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas FC | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Lujan | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 28 |
| 4 | General Lamadrid | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Deportivo Espanol | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 24 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 23 |
| 9 | CA Claypole | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 20 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | CA Atlas | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 19 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Fenix | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lujan | Fenix |
|---|---|---|
| General Lamadrid | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Leones de Rosario | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CA Atlas | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Canuelas FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Muniz | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Espanol | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lujan (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lujan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Fenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 15/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lujan vs Fenix?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lujan win (57%). Probabilities: Lujan 57%, draw 28%, Fenix 15%.
How many goals are expected in Lujan vs Fenix?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Lujan 1.43 · Fenix 0.61), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lujan vs Fenix?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.