Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 26/09, 20:00

Prediction: CA Brown de Adrogue vs Atletico Camioneros

Team pages: CA Brown de Adrogue · Atletico Camioneros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.64Total

CA Brown de Adrogue0.77

Atletico Camioneros0.87

1X2

30% 34% 35%

CA Brown de Adrogue Draw Atletico Camioneros

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Brown de Adrogue 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLDDLD

Atletico Camioneros 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWDWLL

Head-to-head

CA Brown de Adrogue 0–1 Atletico Camioneros (1 last)

Atletico Camioneros1-0CA Brown de Adrogue

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Brown de Adrogue 1473 · Atletico Camioneros 1523

	CA Brown de Adrogue	Draw	Atletico Camioneros
Our model	29%	37%	34%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.64 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Camioneros (rating 1473 vs 1523).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Brown de Adrogue	Atletico Camioneros
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:21 +3’	2.88	2.80	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Brown de Adrogue 0–0–1 Atletico Camioneros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Atletico Camioneros	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Brown de Adrogue

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	36	21	8	7	56	29	71
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	36	18	12	6	48	24	66
3	Talleres Remedios	36	18	10	8	37	19	64
4	Atletico Camioneros	36	17	12	7	42	24	63
5	Villa Dalmine	36	17	12	7	38	21	63
6	Sportivo Italiano	36	16	11	9	41	27	59
7	Real Pilar	36	16	10	10	40	35	58
8	Deportivo Armenio	36	15	9	12	38	38	54
9	Club Comunicaciones	36	14	11	11	38	33	53
10	Deportivo Laferrere	36	12	12	12	43	47	48
11	San Martin De Burzaco	36	11	14	11	35	37	47
12	CS Dock Sud	36	10	14	12	38	38	44
13	Argentino Merlo	36	11	11	14	32	36	44
14	Deportivo Merlo	36	10	13	13	36	50	43
15	Villa San Carlos	36	9	14	13	35	39	41
16	Argentino Quilmes	36	9	14	13	29	36	41
17	Deportivo Liniers	36	9	13	14	30	37	40
18	CSD Flandria	36	10	8	18	32	45	38
19	Defensores Unidos	36	8	13	15	31	38	37
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	36	7	14	15	21	37	35
21	UAI Urquiza	36	4	19	13	18	33	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	36	1	12	23	23	58	15

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Brown de Adrogue	Atletico Camioneros
Sportivo Italiano	0-0 D	1-1 D
San Martin De Burzaco	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Camioneros (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Brown de Adrogue

WDWLDLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
12/09	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
06/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
29/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
25/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
22/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
15/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	7	L
08/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
31/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
25/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Atletico Camioneros

WDWDDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
13/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	6	11	L
06/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	3	11	D
25/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Atletico Camioneros?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Camioneros win (35%). Probabilities: CA Brown de Adrogue 30%, draw 34%, Atletico Camioneros 35%.

How many goals are expected in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model expects 1.64 goals (CA Brown de Adrogue 0.77 · Atletico Camioneros 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Brown de Adrogue vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.