Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 12/09, 00:00

Prediction: CA Ituzaingo vs Club Comunicaciones

Team pages: CA Ituzaingo · Club Comunicaciones

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.83Total

CA Ituzaingo0.61

Club Comunicaciones1.22

1X2

19% 30% 51%

CA Ituzaingo Draw Club Comunicaciones

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-1 18%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Ituzaingo 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDDLLL

Club Comunicaciones 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDWLWW

Head-to-head

CA Ituzaingo 1–4 Club Comunicaciones (5 last)

Club Comunicaciones3-2CA Ituzaingo
Club Comunicaciones3-0CA Ituzaingo
CA Ituzaingo1-2Club Comunicaciones
CA Ituzaingo2-1Club Comunicaciones
Club Comunicaciones2-1CA Ituzaingo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Ituzaingo 1418 · Club Comunicaciones 1523

	CA Ituzaingo	Draw	Club Comunicaciones
Our model	17%	33%	50%
Market	20%	28%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Comunicaciones (rating 1418 vs 1523).
H2H favours Club Comunicaciones: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Ituzaingo	Club Comunicaciones
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.1	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.20

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 1.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:07 +1’	4.50	3.20	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Ituzaingo 1–0–4 Club Comunicaciones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	3-2 HT 2-1	CA Ituzaingo
17/06/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	3-0 HT 2-0	CA Ituzaingo
18/02/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	1-2 HT 1-0	Club Comunicaciones
03/09/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	2-1 HT 0-0	Club Comunicaciones
07/05/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Club Comunicaciones	2-1 HT 0-1	CA Ituzaingo

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	34	19	8	7	51	28	65
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	34	17	12	5	45	22	63
3	Atletico Camioneros	34	17	12	5	40	20	63
4	Talleres Remedios	34	18	9	7	37	17	63
5	Villa Dalmine	34	16	12	6	35	17	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	34	16	10	8	41	26	58
7	Real Pilar	34	14	10	10	37	34	52
8	Club Comunicaciones	34	13	10	11	34	31	49
9	Deportivo Armenio	34	13	9	12	35	37	48
10	Deportivo Laferrere	34	12	11	11	41	44	47
11	CS Dock Sud	34	10	13	11	38	35	43
12	Argentino Merlo	34	10	11	13	30	34	41
13	San Martin De Burzaco	34	9	14	11	31	36	41
14	Deportivo Merlo	34	9	13	12	34	48	40
15	Villa San Carlos	34	9	12	13	34	38	39
16	Argentino Quilmes	34	8	13	13	28	36	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	34	8	13	13	27	35	37
18	CSD Flandria	34	9	8	17	29	42	35
19	Defensores Unidos	34	7	13	14	28	36	34
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	34	7	13	14	21	35	34
21	UAI Urquiza	34	4	19	11	17	29	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	34	1	11	22	20	53	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Ituzaingo	Club Comunicaciones
CS Dock Sud	0-2 L	1-0 W
Deportivo Merlo	0-0 D	1-0 W
Atletico Camioneros	0-1 L	0-2 L
Sportivo Italiano	0-0 D	1-0 W
San Martin De Burzaco	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club Comunicaciones (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Ituzaingo

LLDDLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
29/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
25/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
22/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
08/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
01/08	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
25/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
18/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
15/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	2	6	L

Club Comunicaciones

DWLDLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
01/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
21/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
18/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
15/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Ituzaingo vs Club Comunicaciones?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Comunicaciones win (51%). Probabilities: CA Ituzaingo 19%, draw 30%, Club Comunicaciones 51%.

How many goals are expected in CA Ituzaingo vs Club Comunicaciones?

The model expects 1.83 goals (CA Ituzaingo 0.61 · Club Comunicaciones 1.22), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Ituzaingo vs Club Comunicaciones?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.