Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: Defensores Unidos vs CS Dock Sud

Team pages: Defensores Unidos · CS Dock Sud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Defensores Unidos0.97

CS Dock Sud1.1

1X2

31% 32% 37%

Defensores Unidos Draw CS Dock Sud

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Defensores Unidos 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWWDD

CS Dock Sud 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Defensores Unidos 4–2 CS Dock Sud (6 last)

CS Dock Sud2-0Defensores Unidos
CS Dock Sud0-1Defensores Unidos
Defensores Unidos2-0CS Dock Sud
Defensores Unidos3-1CS Dock Sud
CS Dock Sud2-0Defensores Unidos
CS Dock Sud0-2Defensores Unidos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defensores Unidos 1475 · CS Dock Sud 1529

	Defensores Unidos	Draw	CS Dock Sud
Our model	30%	33%	37%
Market	31%	31%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Dock Sud (rating 1475 vs 1529).
H2H favours Defensores Unidos: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Defensores Unidos	CS Dock Sud
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.88

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:49 +5’	2.88	2.88	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores Unidos 4–0–2 CS Dock Sud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	2-0 HT 1-0	Defensores Unidos
08/08/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	0-1 HT 0-1	Defensores Unidos
09/04/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	2-0 HT 2-0	CS Dock Sud
08/05/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Defensores Unidos	3-1 HT 1-1	CS Dock Sud
12/12/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	2-0 HT 2-0	Defensores Unidos
13/03/17 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	0-2 HT 0-2	Defensores Unidos

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	34	19	8	7	51	28	65
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	34	17	12	5	45	22	63
3	Atletico Camioneros	34	17	12	5	40	20	63
4	Talleres Remedios	34	18	9	7	37	17	63
5	Villa Dalmine	34	16	12	6	35	17	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	34	16	10	8	41	26	58
7	Real Pilar	34	14	10	10	37	34	52
8	Club Comunicaciones	34	13	10	11	34	31	49
9	Deportivo Armenio	34	13	9	12	35	37	48
10	Deportivo Laferrere	34	12	11	11	41	44	47
11	CS Dock Sud	34	10	13	11	38	35	43
12	Argentino Merlo	34	10	11	13	30	34	41
13	San Martin De Burzaco	34	9	14	11	31	36	41
14	Deportivo Merlo	34	9	13	12	34	48	40
15	Villa San Carlos	34	9	12	13	34	38	39
16	Argentino Quilmes	34	8	13	13	28	36	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	34	8	13	13	27	35	37
18	CSD Flandria	34	9	8	17	29	42	35
19	Defensores Unidos	34	7	13	14	28	36	34
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	34	7	13	14	21	35	34
21	UAI Urquiza	34	4	19	11	17	29	31
22	CA Ituzaingo	34	1	11	22	20	53	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Defensores Unidos	CS Dock Sud
Deportivo Merlo	0-0 D	2-1 W
Atletico Camioneros	0-0 D	2-2 D
Sportivo Italiano	2-0 W	0-4 L
San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 W	4-1 W
Villa San Carlos	0-1 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Liniers	2-3 L	1-1 D
Real Pilar	1-2 L	1-0 W
UAI Urquiza	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Dock Sud (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defensores Unidos

LDDLLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
29/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
25/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
22/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	6	8	W
16/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
08/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-3	6	7	L
01/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
25/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
14/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	7	4	L

CS Dock Sud

DWDDWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
27/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
23/08	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	2-2	6	4	D
15/08	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
09/08	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	4-1	13	3	W
02/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
25/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
14/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defensores Unidos vs CS Dock Sud?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Dock Sud win (37%). Probabilities: Defensores Unidos 31%, draw 32%, CS Dock Sud 37%.

How many goals are expected in Defensores Unidos vs CS Dock Sud?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Defensores Unidos 0.97 · CS Dock Sud 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Defensores Unidos vs CS Dock Sud?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.