Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo Laferrere

Team pages: Deportivo Liniers · Deportivo Laferrere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Deportivo Liniers1.08

Deportivo Laferrere1.06

1X2

35% 32% 33%

Deportivo Liniers Draw Deportivo Laferrere

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Liniers 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWLLWD

Deportivo Laferrere 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLLWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Liniers 2–2–2 Deportivo Laferrere (6 last)

Deportivo Laferrere0-0Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers2-3Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere3-3Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers0-1Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere0-2Deportivo Liniers
Deportivo Liniers2-0Deportivo Laferrere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Liniers 1482 · Deportivo Laferrere 1506

	Deportivo Liniers	Draw	Deportivo Laferrere
Our model	34%	32%	33%
Market	35%	32%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Liniers	Deportivo Laferrere
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.1	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.80

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:52 +9’	2.60	2.80	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Liniers 2–2–2 Deportivo Laferrere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Liniers
16/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	2-3 HT 0-2	Deportivo Laferrere
29/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	3-3 HT 2-0	Deportivo Liniers
14/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Laferrere
28/02/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Laferrere	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Liniers
10/10/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Deportivo Liniers	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Laferrere

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	33	18	8	7	49	27	62
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	33	16	12	5	44	22	60
3	Atletico Camioneros	33	16	12	5	39	20	60
4	Villa Dalmine	33	16	12	5	35	16	60
5	Talleres Remedios	33	17	9	7	35	17	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	33	15	10	8	38	25	55
7	Real Pilar	33	14	10	9	37	32	52
8	Deportivo Armenio	33	13	8	12	35	37	47
9	Club Comunicaciones	33	12	10	11	33	31	46
10	Deportivo Laferrere	33	12	10	11	39	42	46
11	CS Dock Sud	33	10	13	10	38	34	43
12	Argentino Merlo	33	10	11	12	30	32	41
13	San Martin De Burzaco	33	9	13	11	31	36	40
14	Deportivo Merlo	33	9	12	12	34	48	39
15	Villa San Carlos	33	9	11	13	34	38	38
16	Argentino Quilmes	33	8	13	12	28	35	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	33	8	12	13	25	33	36
18	CSD Flandria	33	9	8	16	28	39	35
19	Defensores Unidos	33	7	12	14	28	36	33
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	33	7	12	14	21	35	33
21	UAI Urquiza	33	3	19	11	15	29	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	33	1	11	21	19	51	14

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Liniers	Deportivo Laferrere
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-1 D	1-0 W
Deportivo Armenio	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Liniers

LLDDDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/08	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
22/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	3-2	1	7	W
01/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
25/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
18/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	10	D
14/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
10/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	3	5	L

Deportivo Laferrere

DWWLWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
25/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	1	5	W
22/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
15/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-5	6	7	L
09/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
26/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
18/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
15/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
10/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo Laferrere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Liniers win (35%). Probabilities: Deportivo Liniers 35%, draw 32%, Deportivo Laferrere 33%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Deportivo Liniers 1.08 · Deportivo Laferrere 1.06), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo Laferrere?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.