Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio

Team pages: San Martin De Burzaco · Deportivo Armenio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

San Martin De Burzaco1.05

Deportivo Armenio1.17

1X2

31% 32% 37%

San Martin De Burzaco Draw Deportivo Armenio

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin De Burzaco 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLDLWL

Deportivo Armenio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWWLLW

Head-to-head

San Martin De Burzaco 1–3–2 Deportivo Armenio (6 last)

Deportivo Armenio1-1San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco1-1Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Armenio1-1San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco2-0Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Armenio3-1San Martin De Burzaco
San Martin De Burzaco0-1Deportivo Armenio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin De Burzaco 1463 · Deportivo Armenio 1506

	San Martin De Burzaco	Draw	Deportivo Armenio
Our model	31%	32%	37%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Armenio (rating 1463 vs 1506).
H2H favours Deportivo Armenio: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin De Burzaco	Deportivo Armenio
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X2.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 06:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.90▲	Pinn 2.91
X	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.00 ★
2	2.70 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:44 +4’	2.63	2.80	2.70
20:33 +2’	2.40▼	2.80	3.00▲
22:49 +4’	2.63▲	2.80	2.70▼
06:37 +2’	2.90▲	2.80	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:33 +2’	2.75	2.96	2.48
06:38	2.89▲	2.98▲	2.33▼
09:55	2.91▲	3.00▲	2.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin De Burzaco 1–3–2 Deportivo Armenio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	1-1 HT 1-1	San Martin De Burzaco
09/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Armenio
18/02/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	1-1 HT 1-1	San Martin De Burzaco
19/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	2-0 HT 2-0	Deportivo Armenio
01/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	3-1 HT 1-0	San Martin De Burzaco
08/04/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	San Martin De Burzaco	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Armenio

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	33	18	8	7	49	27	62
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	33	16	12	5	44	22	60
3	Atletico Camioneros	33	16	12	5	39	20	60
4	Villa Dalmine	33	16	12	5	35	16	60
5	Talleres Remedios	33	17	9	7	35	17	60
6	Sportivo Italiano	33	15	10	8	38	25	55
7	Real Pilar	33	14	10	9	37	32	52
8	Deportivo Armenio	33	13	8	12	35	37	47
9	Club Comunicaciones	33	12	10	11	33	31	46
10	Deportivo Laferrere	33	12	10	11	39	42	46
11	CS Dock Sud	33	10	13	10	38	34	43
12	Argentino Merlo	33	10	11	12	30	32	41
13	San Martin De Burzaco	33	9	13	11	31	36	40
14	Deportivo Merlo	33	9	12	12	34	48	39
15	Villa San Carlos	33	9	11	13	34	38	38
16	Argentino Quilmes	33	8	13	12	28	35	37
17	Deportivo Liniers	33	8	12	13	25	33	36
18	CSD Flandria	33	9	8	16	28	39	35
19	Defensores Unidos	33	7	12	14	28	36	33
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	33	7	12	14	21	35	33
21	UAI Urquiza	33	3	19	11	15	29	28
22	CA Ituzaingo	33	1	11	21	19	51	14

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin De Burzaco

DWLLDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
25/08	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	3-2	7	7	W
22/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
15/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
09/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
02/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
25/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
18/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
15/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

Deportivo Armenio

DWDDLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/08	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
22/08	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
16/08	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
08/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
25/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
14/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
10/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Armenio win (37%). Probabilities: San Martin De Burzaco 31%, draw 32%, Deportivo Armenio 37%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?

The model expects 2.22 goals (San Martin De Burzaco 1.05 · Deportivo Armenio 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.