Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 05/09, 20:00
Prediction: Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Flandria
Team pages: Sportivo Italiano · CSD Flandria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Sportivo Italiano1.07
CSD Flandria0.86
1X2
Sportivo Italiano
Draw
CSD Flandria
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Italiano
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CSD Flandria
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Italiano
0–3–3
CSD Flandria
(6 last)
- CSD Flandria0-0Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano0-2CSD Flandria
- CSD Flandria1-1Sportivo Italiano
- CSD Flandria1-1Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano0-1CSD Flandria
- Sportivo Italiano0-2CSD Flandria
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Italiano 1553 · CSD Flandria 1500
| Sportivo Italiano | Draw | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 34% | 28% |
| Market | 40% | 31% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Italiano (rating 1553 vs 1500).
- H2H favours CSD Flandria: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Italiano | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Italiano 0–3–3 CSD Flandria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 28/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CSD Flandria |
| 08/02/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 19/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 02/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 13/11/15 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CSD Flandria |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 62 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Camioneros | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 39 | 20 | 60 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Talleres Remedios | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 17 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 25 | 55 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 52 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 42 | 46 |
| 11 | CS Dock Sud | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 43 |
| 12 | Argentino Merlo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 32 | 41 |
| 13 | San Martin De Burzaco | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 31 | 36 | 40 |
| 14 | Deportivo Merlo | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 48 | 39 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 38 | 38 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 37 |
| 17 | Deportivo Liniers | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | CSD Flandria | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 39 | 35 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 28 | 36 | 33 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 21 | 35 | 33 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 33 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 28 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 19 | 51 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Italiano | CSD Flandria |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin De Burzaco | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Villa San Carlos | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 25/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 14/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
CSD Flandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Flandria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Italiano win (39%). Probabilities: Sportivo Italiano 39%, draw 32%, CSD Flandria 28%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Flandria?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Sportivo Italiano 1.07 · CSD Flandria 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Flandria?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.