Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue
Team pages: Villa Dalmine · CA Brown de Adrogue
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Villa Dalmine1.13
CA Brown de Adrogue0.74
1X2
Villa Dalmine
Draw
CA Brown de Adrogue
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Villa Dalmine
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CA Brown de Adrogue
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villa Dalmine
2–4
CA Brown de Adrogue
(6 last)
- CA Brown de Adrogue1-4Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine1-0CA Brown de Adrogue
- CA Brown de Adrogue4-1Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine0-1CA Brown de Adrogue
- CA Brown de Adrogue2-0Villa Dalmine
- Villa Dalmine0-1CA Brown de Adrogue
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villa Dalmine 1549 · CA Brown de Adrogue 1479
| Villa Dalmine | Draw | CA Brown de Adrogue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 33% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa Dalmine (rating 1549 vs 1479).
- H2H favours CA Brown de Adrogue: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villa Dalmine | CA Brown de Adrogue | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa Dalmine 2–0–4 CA Brown de Adrogue
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Brown de Adrogue | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Villa Dalmine |
| 02/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Brown de Adrogue |
| 07/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Brown de Adrogue | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 26/08/23 Argentina Nacional B | Villa Dalmine | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Brown de Adrogue |
| 15/04/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Brown de Adrogue | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 01/10/22 Argentina Nacional B | Villa Dalmine | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Brown de Adrogue |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Camioneros | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 49 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 44 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 39 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
| 13 | CS Dock Sud | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | San Martin De Burzaco | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 32 |
| 17 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 30 | 31 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 29 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 28 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 27 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 46 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villa Dalmine | CA Brown de Adrogue |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| CSD Flandria | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Argentino Quilmes | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Defensores Unidos | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Brown de Adrogue (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
CA Brown de Adrogue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 15/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villa Dalmine win (44%). Probabilities: Villa Dalmine 44%, draw 34%, CA Brown de Adrogue 23%.
How many goals are expected in Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Villa Dalmine 1.13 · CA Brown de Adrogue 0.74), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Villa Dalmine vs CA Brown de Adrogue?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.