Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Real Pilar vs CSD Flandria
Team pages: Real Pilar · CSD Flandria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Real Pilar1.4
CSD Flandria0.91
1X2
Real Pilar
Draw
CSD Flandria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Pilar
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CSD Flandria
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Pilar
3–2–0
CSD Flandria
(5 last)
- CSD Flandria1-3Real Pilar
- Real Pilar2-0CSD Flandria
- CSD Flandria1-1Real Pilar
- Real Pilar0-0CSD Flandria
- CSD Flandria0-1Real Pilar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Pilar 1541 · CSD Flandria 1447
| Real Pilar | Draw | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Pilar (rating 1541 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Real Pilar: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Pilar | CSD Flandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.7 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Pilar 3–2–0 CSD Flandria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Real Pilar |
| 30/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 22/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Real Pilar |
| 09/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSD Flandria |
| 18/02/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CSD Flandria | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Pilar |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Camioneros | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 49 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 44 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 39 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
| 13 | CS Dock Sud | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | San Martin De Burzaco | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 32 |
| 17 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 30 | 31 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 29 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 28 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 27 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 46 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Pilar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
CSD Flandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Pilar vs CSD Flandria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Pilar win (47%). Probabilities: Real Pilar 47%, draw 30%, CSD Flandria 23%.
How many goals are expected in Real Pilar vs CSD Flandria?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Real Pilar 1.4 · CSD Flandria 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Pilar vs CSD Flandria?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.