Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 15/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud
Team pages: Sportivo Italiano · CS Dock Sud
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Sportivo Italiano1.12
CS Dock Sud0.86
1X2
Sportivo Italiano
Draw
CS Dock Sud
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Italiano
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CS Dock Sud
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Italiano
3–1–2
CS Dock Sud
(6 last)
- CS Dock Sud1-3Sportivo Italiano
- CS Dock Sud0-0Sportivo Italiano
- Sportivo Italiano0-1CS Dock Sud
- Sportivo Italiano2-0CS Dock Sud
- CS Dock Sud2-0Sportivo Italiano
- CS Dock Sud1-2Sportivo Italiano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Italiano 1551 · CS Dock Sud 1507
| Sportivo Italiano | Draw | CS Dock Sud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Italiano (rating 1551 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Sportivo Italiano: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Italiano | CS Dock Sud | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Italiano 3–1–2 CS Dock Sud
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 15/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 30/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CS Dock Sud |
| 27/10/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Sportivo Italiano | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CS Dock Sud |
| 08/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Italiano |
| 03/10/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sportivo Italiano |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Camioneros | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 54 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 53 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 49 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 44 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 39 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
| 13 | CS Dock Sud | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | San Martin De Burzaco | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 32 |
| 17 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 30 | 31 |
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 29 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 36 | 28 |
| 20 | UAI Urquiza | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 27 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 18 | 46 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Italiano | CS Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin De Burzaco | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Villa San Carlos | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| UAI Urquiza | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Villa Dalmine | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Excursionistas | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CS Dock Sud (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 25/07 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 14/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
CS Dock Sud
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 4-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Italiano win (41%). Probabilities: Sportivo Italiano 41%, draw 32%, CS Dock Sud 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Sportivo Italiano 1.12 · CS Dock Sud 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs CS Dock Sud?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.