Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Talleres Remedios vs CA Ituzaingo

Team pages: Talleres Remedios · CA Ituzaingo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Talleres Remedios1.63

CA Ituzaingo0.55

1X2

63% 24% 12%

Talleres Remedios Draw CA Ituzaingo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Talleres Remedios 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWDLWW

CA Ituzaingo 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLDLLD

Head-to-head

Talleres Remedios 1–2–2 CA Ituzaingo (5 last)

CA Ituzaingo0-0Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios3-0CA Ituzaingo
CA Ituzaingo1-1Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios0-2CA Ituzaingo
CA Ituzaingo1-0Talleres Remedios

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talleres Remedios 1569 · CA Ituzaingo 1437

	Talleres Remedios	Draw	CA Ituzaingo
Our model	63%	26%	11%
Market	64%	23%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Talleres Remedios (rating 1569 vs 1437).
H2H favours CA Ituzaingo: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Talleres Remedios	CA Ituzaingo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.6	1.1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	6 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.40

X3.90

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.40▲	Bet365 1.40
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	8.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:53 +13’	1.33	4.10	8.50
20:36 +15’	1.40▲	3.90▼	7.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Talleres Remedios 1–2–2 CA Ituzaingo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	0-0 HT 0-0	Talleres Remedios
23/09/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	3-0 HT 2-0	CA Ituzaingo
21/05/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	1-1 HT 0-1	Talleres Remedios
17/07/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Talleres Remedios	0-2 HT 0-0	CA Ituzaingo
20/03/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA Ituzaingo	1-0 HT 1-0	Talleres Remedios

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Talleres Remedios	27	15	7	5	31	13	52
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	27	14	9	4	37	19	51
3	Excursionistas	27	14	8	5	38	18	50
4	Atletico Camioneros	27	14	8	5	33	17	50
5	Villa Dalmine	27	13	10	4	30	14	49
6	Sportivo Italiano	27	12	9	6	27	21	45
7	Real Pilar	27	11	7	9	31	30	40
8	Club Comunicaciones	27	10	8	9	31	28	38
9	Deportivo Armenio	27	10	8	9	30	31	38
10	Deportivo Laferrere	27	10	8	9	29	32	38
11	Deportivo Merlo	27	9	9	9	32	40	36
12	Argentino Merlo	27	9	8	10	26	25	35
12	San Martin De Burzaco	27	8	11	8	26	25	35
14	CS Dock Sud	27	7	11	9	27	25	32
15	Argentino Quilmes	27	7	11	9	25	28	32
16	Deportivo Liniers	27	6	10	11	18	27	28
17	CSD Flandria	27	7	6	14	21	33	27
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	27	6	9	12	17	29	27
19	Defensores Unidos	27	5	11	11	21	30	26
20	Villa San Carlos	27	5	10	12	26	34	25
21	UAI Urquiza	27	3	16	8	13	23	25
22	CA Ituzaingo	27	1	8	18	18	45	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Talleres Remedios	CA Ituzaingo
Deportivo Laferrere	2-0 W	0-2 L
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-0 W	0-0 D
Deportivo Armenio	1-2 L	1-2 L
CSD Flandria	1-1 D	2-3 L
Argentino Quilmes	3-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Talleres Remedios (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talleres Remedios

WWDDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
18/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
14/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
10/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
05/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	7	W
27/06	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	11	6	W
21/06	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/06	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
06/06	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
31/05	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	4-1	2	7	W

CA Ituzaingo

LWLDLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
18/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
15/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
10/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
04/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
27/06	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
20/06	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
13/06	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-3	5	8	L
05/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	4	12	W
01/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	11	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talleres Remedios vs CA Ituzaingo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Talleres Remedios win (63%). Probabilities: Talleres Remedios 63%, draw 24%, CA Ituzaingo 12%.

How many goals are expected in Talleres Remedios vs CA Ituzaingo?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Talleres Remedios 1.63 · CA Ituzaingo 0.55), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Talleres Remedios vs CA Ituzaingo?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.