Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 02/08, 20:00

Prediction: Villa San Carlos vs CS Dock Sud

Team pages: Villa San Carlos · CS Dock Sud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Villa San Carlos0.98

CS Dock Sud1.05

1X2

32% 32% 36%

Villa San Carlos Draw CS Dock Sud

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Villa San Carlos 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDDWDLLW

CS Dock Sud 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWLDWD

Head-to-head

Villa San Carlos 1–2–3 CS Dock Sud (6 last)

CS Dock Sud2-0Villa San Carlos
Villa San Carlos2-2CS Dock Sud
CS Dock Sud3-1Villa San Carlos
CS Dock Sud2-1Villa San Carlos
Villa San Carlos2-2CS Dock Sud
Villa San Carlos3-2CS Dock Sud

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villa San Carlos 1479 · CS Dock Sud 1496

	Villa San Carlos	Draw	CS Dock Sud
Our model	32%	33%	35%
Market	33%	31%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Dock Sud: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villa San Carlos	CS Dock Sud
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.75

X2.88

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.25 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:35 +1’	3.20	2.88	2.25
13:22 +2’	2.75▼	2.88	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Villa San Carlos 1–2–3 CS Dock Sud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	2-0 HT 1-0	Villa San Carlos
04/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	2-2 HT 1-2	CS Dock Sud
20/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	3-1 HT 1-1	Villa San Carlos
04/11/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CS Dock Sud	2-1 HT 0-1	Villa San Carlos
15/06/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	2-2 HT 1-1	CS Dock Sud
09/07/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa San Carlos	3-2 HT 3-0	CS Dock Sud

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	28	15	8	5	40	19	53
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	28	14	10	4	38	20	52
3	Talleres Remedios	27	15	7	5	31	13	52
4	Atletico Camioneros	27	14	8	5	33	17	50
5	Villa Dalmine	27	13	10	4	30	14	49
6	Sportivo Italiano	27	12	9	6	27	21	45
7	Real Pilar	27	11	7	9	31	30	40
8	Club Comunicaciones	27	10	8	9	31	28	38
9	Deportivo Armenio	28	10	8	10	31	33	38
10	Deportivo Laferrere	27	10	8	9	29	32	38
11	Deportivo Merlo	27	9	9	9	32	40	36
12	Argentino Merlo	27	9	8	10	26	25	35
12	San Martin De Burzaco	27	8	11	8	26	25	35
14	CS Dock Sud	27	7	11	9	27	25	32
15	Argentino Quilmes	27	7	11	9	25	28	32
16	Deportivo Liniers	27	6	10	11	18	27	28
17	CA Brown de Adrogue	28	6	10	12	18	30	28
18	CSD Flandria	27	7	6	14	21	33	27
19	Defensores Unidos	27	5	11	11	21	30	26
20	Villa San Carlos	27	5	10	12	26	34	25
21	UAI Urquiza	27	3	16	8	13	23	25
22	CA Ituzaingo	27	1	8	18	18	45	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villa San Carlos	CS Dock Sud
Deportivo Liniers	1-1 D	1-1 D
Real Pilar	1-1 D	1-0 W
UAI Urquiza	0-0 D	0-0 D
Villa Dalmine	0-0 D	1-2 L
Excursionistas	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Dock Sud (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villa San Carlos

LDDDDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
18/07	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
14/07	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
10/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
04/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
28/06	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
20/06	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
13/06	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
06/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
31/05	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	4	8	L

CS Dock Sud

LLDLDWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
14/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
10/07	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
04/07	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
28/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	10	D
21/06	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
13/06	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
07/06	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
30/05	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	8	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villa San Carlos vs CS Dock Sud?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Dock Sud win (36%). Probabilities: Villa San Carlos 32%, draw 32%, CS Dock Sud 36%.

How many goals are expected in Villa San Carlos vs CS Dock Sud?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Villa San Carlos 0.98 · CS Dock Sud 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Villa San Carlos vs CS Dock Sud?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.