Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Deportivo Laferrere vs CA Ituzaingo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Deportivo Laferrere1.84
CA Ituzaingo0.71
1X2
Deportivo Laferrere
Draw
CA Ituzaingo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Laferrere
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CA Ituzaingo
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Laferrere
3–1–2
CA Ituzaingo
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Laferrere 1539 · CA Ituzaingo 1433
| Deportivo Laferrere | Draw | CA Ituzaingo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 24% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 26% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Laferrere (rating 1539 vs 1433).
- H2H favours Deportivo Laferrere: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Laferrere | CA Ituzaingo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 5.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Laferrere 3–1–2 CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 25/07/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
| 07/03/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 30/11/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 15/02/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Laferrere |
| 07/09/18 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Laferrere | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 41 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 35 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportivo Laferrere | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 34 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 30 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 26 |
| 17 | CSD Flandria | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 31 | 26 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 25 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 24 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 25 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Laferrere | CA Ituzaingo |
|---|---|---|
| CA Brown de Adrogue | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Armenio | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| CSD Flandria | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Argentino Quilmes | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Laferrere (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Laferrere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 10/07 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 01/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Laferrere vs CA Ituzaingo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Laferrere win (63%). Probabilities: Deportivo Laferrere 63%, draw 25%, CA Ituzaingo 12%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Laferrere vs CA Ituzaingo?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Deportivo Laferrere 1.84 · CA Ituzaingo 0.71), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Laferrere vs CA Ituzaingo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.