Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 25/07, 22:00

Prediction: CSD Flandria vs Excursionistas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

CSD Flandria0.9

Excursionistas1.08

1X2

29% 32% 38%

CSD Flandria Draw Excursionistas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Flandria 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLDWL

Excursionistas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWLLWD

Head-to-head

CSD Flandria 3–2 Excursionistas (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Flandria 1460 · Excursionistas 1531

	CSD Flandria	Draw	Excursionistas
Our model	29%	34%	38%
Market	30%	31%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Excursionistas (rating 1460 vs 1531).
H2H favours CSD Flandria: 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Flandria	Excursionistas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.8	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.88

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.00▲	Bet365 3.00
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.50 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:19 +1’	2.70	2.88	2.50
02:23 +1’	3.00▲	2.88	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Flandria 3–0–2 Excursionistas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas	2-0 HT 0-0	CSD Flandria
08/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas	0-1 HT 0-1	CSD Flandria
14/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-0 HT 0-0	Excursionistas
22/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas	2-1 HT 0-1	CSD Flandria
02/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CSD Flandria	1-0 HT 0-0	Excursionistas

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arsenal de Sarandi	26	14	8	4	37	19	50
2	Excursionistas	26	14	7	5	37	17	49
3	Talleres Remedios	26	14	7	5	29	13	49
4	Villa Dalmine	26	13	9	4	30	14	48
5	Atletico Camioneros	26	13	8	5	31	17	47
6	Sportivo Italiano	26	12	8	6	27	21	44
7	Club Comunicaciones	26	10	8	8	30	26	38
8	Deportivo Laferrere	26	10	8	8	29	30	38
9	Real Pilar	26	10	7	9	29	29	37
10	Deportivo Armenio	26	10	7	9	30	31	37
11	Deportivo Merlo	26	9	9	8	31	38	36
12	San Martin De Burzaco	26	8	11	7	26	23	35
13	Argentino Merlo	26	9	8	9	26	24	35
14	CS Dock Sud	26	7	10	9	26	24	31
15	Argentino Quilmes	26	7	10	9	25	28	31
16	Deportivo Liniers	26	6	9	11	17	26	27
17	CSD Flandria	26	7	5	14	20	32	26
18	Defensores Unidos	26	5	10	11	20	29	25
19	UAI Urquiza	26	3	15	8	12	22	24
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	26	5	9	12	16	29	24
21	Villa San Carlos	26	4	10	12	24	33	22
22	CA Ituzaingo	26	1	7	18	18	45	10

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Flandria	Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes	0-1 L	0-0 D
Defensores Unidos	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Excursionistas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Flandria

DLLWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
14/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
10/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	12	4	L
27/06	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	12	3	L
20/06	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	7	L
13/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-2	2	8	W
06/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
31/05	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
26/05	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D

Excursionistas

DWWWDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
14/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
10/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
04/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
27/06	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
20/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
13/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
06/06	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/05	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
27/05	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Flandria vs Excursionistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Excursionistas win (38%). Probabilities: CSD Flandria 29%, draw 32%, Excursionistas 38%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Flandria vs Excursionistas?

The model expects 1.98 goals (CSD Flandria 0.9 · Excursionistas 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Flandria vs Excursionistas?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.