Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 25/07, 22:00
Prediction: Argentino Quilmes vs Villa Dalmine
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Argentino Quilmes0.93
Villa Dalmine0.96
1X2
Argentino Quilmes
Draw
Villa Dalmine
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino Quilmes
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Villa Dalmine
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentino Quilmes
2–1–2
Villa Dalmine
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1517 · Villa Dalmine 1519
| Argentino Quilmes | Draw | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Quilmes | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 2–1–2 Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 11/10/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Villa Dalmine |
| 27/07/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Villa Dalmine |
| 09/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa Dalmine | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Argentino Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 50 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 48 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 7 | Club Comunicaciones | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 38 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Pilar | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 37 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 37 |
| 11 | Deportivo Merlo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 38 | 36 |
| 12 | San Martin De Burzaco | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 24 | 35 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 24 | 31 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 31 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 26 | 27 |
| 17 | CSD Flandria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 32 | 26 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 25 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 26 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 24 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 29 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 33 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 45 | 10 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 05/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 11 | W |
| 27/05 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Villa Dalmine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 15/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa Dalmine?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Villa Dalmine win (34%). Probabilities: Argentino Quilmes 32%, draw 34%, Villa Dalmine 34%.
How many goals are expected in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa Dalmine?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Argentino Quilmes 0.93 · Villa Dalmine 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentino Quilmes vs Villa Dalmine?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.