Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 25/07, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Armenio vs Arsenal de Sarandi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Deportivo Armenio1.05

Arsenal de Sarandi1.3

1X2

28% 32% 40%

Deportivo Armenio Draw Arsenal de Sarandi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Armenio 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

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Arsenal de Sarandi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Armenio 0–1 Arsenal de Sarandi (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Armenio 1552 · Arsenal de Sarandi 1529

	Deportivo Armenio	Draw	Arsenal de Sarandi
Our model	29%	30%	41%
Market	28%	33%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Armenio	Arsenal de Sarandi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	6.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.25

X2.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:19	3.25	2.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Armenio 0–0–1 Arsenal de Sarandi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Arsenal de Sarandi	2-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Armenio

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Arsenal de Sarandi	26	14	8	4	37	19	50
2	Excursionistas	26	14	7	5	37	17	49
3	Talleres Remedios	26	14	7	5	29	13	49
4	Villa Dalmine	26	13	9	4	30	14	48
5	Atletico Camioneros	26	13	8	5	31	17	47
6	Sportivo Italiano	26	12	8	6	27	21	44
7	Club Comunicaciones	26	10	8	8	30	26	38
8	Deportivo Laferrere	26	10	8	8	29	30	38
9	Real Pilar	26	10	7	9	29	29	37
10	Deportivo Armenio	26	10	7	9	30	31	37
11	Deportivo Merlo	26	9	9	8	31	38	36
12	San Martin De Burzaco	26	8	11	7	26	23	35
13	Argentino Merlo	26	9	8	9	26	24	35
14	CS Dock Sud	26	7	10	9	26	24	31
15	Argentino Quilmes	26	7	10	9	25	28	31
16	Deportivo Liniers	26	6	9	11	17	26	27
17	CSD Flandria	26	7	5	14	20	32	26
18	Defensores Unidos	26	5	10	11	20	29	25
19	UAI Urquiza	26	3	15	8	12	22	24
20	CA Brown de Adrogue	26	5	9	12	16	29	24
21	Villa San Carlos	26	4	10	12	24	33	22
22	CA Ituzaingo	26	1	7	18	18	45	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Armenio	Arsenal de Sarandi
CSD Flandria	2-1 W	1-0 W
Argentino Quilmes	1-1 D	0-1 L
Defensores Unidos	3-0 W	3-1 W
Club Comunicaciones	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Armenio (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Armenio

WWWDWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
14/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
10/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
27/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
20/06	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
14/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
06/06	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
30/05	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/05	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	5	7	W

Arsenal de Sarandi

DLLWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
14/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
10/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	9	5	W
04/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
28/06	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	10	D
21/06	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-1	4-2	4	9	W
13/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	4	10	W
06/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
01/06	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
26/05	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Armenio vs Arsenal de Sarandi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal de Sarandi win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Armenio 28%, draw 32%, Arsenal de Sarandi 40%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Arsenal de Sarandi?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Deportivo Armenio 1.05 · Arsenal de Sarandi 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Arsenal de Sarandi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.