Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Argentino Merlo1.12
Deportivo Armenio0.83
1X2
Argentino Merlo
Draw
Deportivo Armenio
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino Merlo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Armenio
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentino Merlo
0–4–2
Deportivo Armenio
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Merlo 1515 · Deportivo Armenio 1566
| Argentino Merlo | Draw | Deportivo Armenio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Armenio (rating 1515 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Deportivo Armenio: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Merlo | Deportivo Armenio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 2.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Merlo 0–4–2 Deportivo Armenio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 11/12/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 06/12/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 05/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Armenio |
| 19/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 03/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Armenio | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Argentino Merlo |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 41 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 35 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportivo Laferrere | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 34 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 30 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 26 |
| 17 | CSD Flandria | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 31 | 26 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 25 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 24 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 25 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentino Merlo | Deportivo Armenio |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Flandria | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Argentino Quilmes | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Defensores Unidos | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Club Comunicaciones | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| CS Dock Sud | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Merlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/07 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 05/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
Deportivo Armenio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentino Merlo win (41%). Probabilities: Argentino Merlo 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Armenio 26%.
How many goals are expected in Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Argentino Merlo 1.12 · Deportivo Armenio 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentino Merlo vs Deportivo Armenio?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.