Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Real Pilar vs CS Dock Sud
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Real Pilar1.35
CS Dock Sud0.8
1X2
Real Pilar
Draw
CS Dock Sud
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Real Pilar
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
CS Dock Sud
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Pilar
4–2
CS Dock Sud
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Pilar 1511 · CS Dock Sud 1469
| Real Pilar | Draw | CS Dock Sud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Pilar (rating 1511 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Real Pilar: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Pilar | CS Dock Sud | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Pilar 4–0–2 CS Dock Sud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real Pilar |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Real Pilar |
| 10/05/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 3-1 HT 2-1 | CS Dock Sud |
| 14/08/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CS Dock Sud | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Pilar |
| 28/03/21 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CS Dock Sud |
| 08/12/20 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CS Dock Sud |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 41 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 37 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 35 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 11 | Deportivo Laferrere | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportivo Merlo | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 34 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 30 |
| 15 | CS Dock Sud | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 26 |
| 17 | CSD Flandria | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 31 | 26 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 25 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 24 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 22 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 25 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Pilar | CS Dock Sud |
|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Villa Dalmine | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Pilar (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Pilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 30/05 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
CS Dock Sud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 21/06 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 26/05 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Pilar vs CS Dock Sud?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Pilar win (49%). Probabilities: Real Pilar 49%, draw 30%, CS Dock Sud 21%.
How many goals are expected in Real Pilar vs CS Dock Sud?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Real Pilar 1.35 · CS Dock Sud 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Pilar vs CS Dock Sud?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.