Prediction: CA Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos
Expected goals: 2.13 (CA Ituzaingo 1.12 · Villa San Carlos 1.01). The model gives 37% home, 32% draw, 31% away. Over 1.75 goals (55%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, CA Ituzaingo sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while Villa San Carlos arrives on a 0-6-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for CA Ituzaingo and 2 for Villa San Carlos, with 1 draw.
| CA Ituzaingo | Draw | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 33% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villa San Carlos (rating 1419 vs 1464).
- H2H favours CA Ituzaingo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Ituzaingo | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 1 | 5.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Ituzaingo 3–1–2 Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 3-1 HT 2-1 | CA Ituzaingo |
| 05/08/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
| 08/04/23 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 03/07/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 1-2 HT 1-2 | CA Ituzaingo |
| 09/03/22 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Villa San Carlos |
| 13/04/19 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Villa San Carlos | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CA Ituzaingo |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 42 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 34 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 33 |
| 8 | Club Comunicaciones | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 31 |
| 10 | Deportivo Merlo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 31 |
| 11 | San Martin De Burzaco | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 30 |
| 12 | Argentino Merlo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 30 |
| 13 | Deportivo Laferrere | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 28 |
| 14 | Argentino Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Deportivo Liniers | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 25 |
| 16 | CS Dock Sud | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 24 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 23 |
| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 22 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 19 | CSD Flandria | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 22 |
| 20 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Ituzaingo | Villa San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Liniers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Pilar | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Laferrere | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| UAI Urquiza | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Villa Dalmine | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 01/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 05/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Villa San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 26/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Ituzaingo win (37%). Probabilities: CA Ituzaingo 37%, draw 32%, Villa San Carlos 31%.
How many goals are expected in CA Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos?
The model expects 2.13 goals (CA Ituzaingo 1.12 · Villa San Carlos 1.01), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Ituzaingo vs Villa San Carlos?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.