Prediction: Argentino Merlo vs Argentino Quilmes
Expected goals: 1.99 (Argentino Merlo 1.2 · Argentino Quilmes 0.79). The model gives 45% home, 32% draw, 24% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Argentino Merlo with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Argentino Quilmes has piled up 4-4-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Argentino Merlo and 4 for Argentino Quilmes.
| Argentino Merlo | Draw | Argentino Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 33% | 23% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Argentino Quilmes: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Merlo | Argentino Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Merlo 2–0–4 Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 04/11/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 07/06/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 17/11/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Argentino Merlo |
| 10/11/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 24/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Merlo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 23 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 22 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 21 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentino Merlo | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores Unidos | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Comunicaciones | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| CS Dock Sud | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Armenio | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Merlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/05 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Argentino Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 11 | W |
| 27/05 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Merlo vs Argentino Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentino Merlo win (45%). Probabilities: Argentino Merlo 45%, draw 32%, Argentino Quilmes 24%.
How many goals are expected in Argentino Merlo vs Argentino Quilmes?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Argentino Merlo 1.2 · Argentino Quilmes 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentino Merlo vs Argentino Quilmes?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.