Prediction: CA Brown de Adrogue vs CA Ituzaingo
Expected goals: 2.24 (CA Brown de Adrogue 1.53 · CA Ituzaingo 0.72). The model gives 56% home, 28% draw, 16% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves CA Brown de Adrogue with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; CA Ituzaingo has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, CA Brown de Adrogue won 0 and CA Ituzaingo 0, with 1 draw.
| CA Brown de Adrogue | Draw | CA Ituzaingo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 28% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 28% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Brown de Adrogue (rating 1467 vs 1420).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Brown de Adrogue | CA Ituzaingo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 6.3 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Brown de Adrogue 0–1–0 CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Ituzaingo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Brown de Adrogue |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 45 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 43 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | San Martin De Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 31 |
| 10 | Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Argentino Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 31 |
| 13 | Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 31 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 27 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 23 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 22 |
| 20 | CSD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 21 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Brown de Adrogue | CA Ituzaingo |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Armenio | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| CSD Flandria | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Argentino Quilmes | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Defensores Unidos | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Brown de Adrogue (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Brown de Adrogue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
CA Ituzaingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/06 | Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 01/06 | Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Brown de Adrogue vs CA Ituzaingo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Brown de Adrogue win (56%). Probabilities: CA Brown de Adrogue 56%, draw 28%, CA Ituzaingo 16%.
How many goals are expected in CA Brown de Adrogue vs CA Ituzaingo?
The model expects 2.24 goals (CA Brown de Adrogue 1.53 · CA Ituzaingo 0.72), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Brown de Adrogue vs CA Ituzaingo?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.