Prediction: Excursionistas vs Club Comunicaciones

Expected goals: 2.42 (Excursionistas 1.64 · Club Comunicaciones 0.78). The model gives 56% home, 27% draw, 16% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Excursionistas sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while Club Comunicaciones arrives on a 3-4-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas won 3 and Club Comunicaciones 2, with 1 draw.

56%1
56% 27% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Excursionistas 1569 · Club Comunicaciones 1489
ExcursionistasDrawClub Comunicaciones
Our model57%27%17%
Market56%27%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.42Excursionistas 1.64 · Club Comunicaciones 0.78
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Excursionistas (rating 1569 vs 1489).
  • H2H favours Excursionistas: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ExcursionistasClub Comunicaciones
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.71.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.92.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.24.7 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Excursionistas 312 Club Comunicaciones

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Club Comunicaciones1-1
HT 1-0
Excursionistas
07/10/25
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Excursionistas1-0
HT 0-0
Club Comunicaciones
21/05/25
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Club Comunicaciones0-1
HT 0-1
Excursionistas
22/06/24
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Club Comunicaciones1-3
HT 0-0
Excursionistas
03/02/24
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Excursionistas1-2
HT 1-1
Club Comunicaciones
02/04/17
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Club Comunicaciones5-0
HT 1-0
Excursionistas

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Excursionistas 231364 341545
2 Talleres Remedios 231364 261045
3 Arsenal de Sarandi 231283 331744
4 Villa Dalmine 231274 281343
5 Atletico Camioneros 231184 271541
6 Sportivo Italiano 23986 232035
7 Real Pilar 23977 252434
8 Deportivo Armenio 23959 252732
9 San Martin De Burzaco 237106 232031
10 Club Comunicaciones 23878 262531
11 Argentino Merlo 23878 212131
12 Deportivo Laferrere 23878 252931
13 Deportivo Merlo 23878 273531
14 CS Dock Sud 23698 242227
15 Argentino Quilmes 23698 242527
16 Deportivo Liniers 23689 162326
17 Defensores Unidos 23599 192424
18 CA Brown de Adrogue 235810 162723
19 UAI Urquiza 233137 122022
20 CSD Flandria 236413 183022
21 Villa San Carlos 234910 243021
22 CA Ituzaingo 231616 17419

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentExcursionistasClub Comunicaciones
Argentino Quilmes 2-2 D 0-0 D
UAI Urquiza 0-0 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club Comunicaciones (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Excursionistas

DWWDWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 CS Dock Sud
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-2 1-3 16 L
27/06 Deportivo Merlo
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
3-0 5-0 42 W
20/06 Atletico Camioneros
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-1 76 D
13/06 Sportivo Italiano
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 68 W
06/06 San Martin De Burzaco
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 2-0 W
31/05 Villa San Carlos
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 2-0 38 W
27/05 Argentino Quilmes
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-1 2-2 44 D
23/05 Deportivo Liniers
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 4-1 66 W
16/05 Real Pilar
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 55 W
09/05 UAI Urquiza
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 82 D

Club Comunicaciones

DDWWLWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Arsenal de Sarandi
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-1 1-2 43 L
28/06 Argentino Merlo
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-3 2-3 39 L
21/06 Talleres Remedios
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 14 D
13/06 Deportivo Laferrere
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-2 3-3 96 D
06/06 CA Brown de Adrogue
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 2-1 44 W
30/05 Deportivo Armenio
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 73 L
27/05 UAI Urquiza
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 3-0 28 W
23/05 CSD Flandria
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 2-1 43 W
17/05 Argentino Quilmes
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 87 D
09/05 Defensores Unidos
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Excursionistas vs Club Comunicaciones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Excursionistas win (56%). Probabilities: Excursionistas 56%, draw 27%, Club Comunicaciones 16%.

How many goals are expected in Excursionistas vs Club Comunicaciones?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Excursionistas 1.64 · Club Comunicaciones 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Excursionistas vs Club Comunicaciones?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.