Prediction: Deportivo Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano

Expected goals: 2.01 (Deportivo Liniers 0.8 · Sportivo Italiano 1.21). The model gives 23% home, 32% draw, 44% away. Over 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-1.

On recent form, Deportivo Liniers is 2-5-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sportivo Italiano 2-4-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Liniers won 1 and Sportivo Italiano 4, with 1 draw.

44%2
23% 32% 44%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Liniers 1466 · Sportivo Italiano 1496
Deportivo LiniersDrawSportivo Italiano
Our model23%32%44%
Market23%32%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.01Deportivo Liniers 0.8 · Sportivo Italiano 1.21
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 51%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sportivo Italiano: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo LiniersSportivo Italiano
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 10.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.81.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.15.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Liniers 114 Sportivo Italiano

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Sportivo Italiano2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Liniers
02/11/25
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Liniers1-3
HT 1-2
Sportivo Italiano
07/06/25
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Sportivo Italiano2-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Liniers
22/09/24
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Sportivo Italiano0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Liniers
05/05/24
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Liniers2-0
HT 1-0
Sportivo Italiano
30/07/23
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
Sportivo Italiano1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Liniers

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Excursionistas 231364 341545
2 Talleres Remedios 231364 261045
3 Arsenal de Sarandi 231283 331744
4 Villa Dalmine 231274 281343
5 Atletico Camioneros 231184 271541
6 Sportivo Italiano 23986 232035
7 Real Pilar 23977 252434
8 Deportivo Armenio 23959 252732
9 San Martin De Burzaco 237106 232031
10 Club Comunicaciones 23878 262531
11 Argentino Merlo 23878 212131
12 Deportivo Laferrere 23878 252931
13 Deportivo Merlo 23878 273531
14 CS Dock Sud 23698 242227
15 Argentino Quilmes 23698 242527
16 Deportivo Liniers 23689 162326
17 Defensores Unidos 23599 192424
18 CA Brown de Adrogue 235810 162723
19 UAI Urquiza 233137 122022
20 CSD Flandria 236413 183022
21 Villa San Carlos 234910 243021
22 CA Ituzaingo 231616 17419

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo LiniersSportivo Italiano
San Martin De Burzaco 1-1 D 1-2 L
Real Pilar 0-1 L 1-1 D
UAI Urquiza 1-2 L 0-0 D
Villa Dalmine 1-0 W 1-2 L
Excursionistas 1-4 L 0-1 L
Arsenal de Sarandi 0-0 D 3-1 W
Argentino Merlo 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Italiano (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Liniers

WDLDWLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 San Martin De Burzaco
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-1 1-1 16 D
28/06 Villa San Carlos
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 65 D
20/06 CA Ituzaingo
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-1 1-1 93 D
14/06 Real Pilar
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-1 0-1 51 L
08/06 UAI Urquiza
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-1 1-2 84 L
31/05 Villa Dalmine
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 63 W
27/05 Deportivo Merlo
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 32 D
23/05 Excursionistas
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-1 1-4 56 L
16/05 Arsenal de Sarandi
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 88 D
09/05 Argentino Merlo
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 76 W

Sportivo Italiano

DDWLLWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Real Pilar
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 55 D
28/06 UAI Urquiza
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 83 D
20/06 Villa Dalmine
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 1-2 45 L
13/06 Excursionistas
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 98 L
06/06 Arsenal de Sarandi
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
2-0 3-1 26 W
31/05 Argentino Merlo
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-1 0-2 46 L
27/05 San Martin De Burzaco
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-2 36 L
23/05 Talleres Remedios
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 1-0 17 W
18/05 Deportivo Laferrere
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 23 D
09/05 CA Brown de Adrogue
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Italiano win (44%). Probabilities: Deportivo Liniers 23%, draw 32%, Sportivo Italiano 44%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Deportivo Liniers 0.8 · Sportivo Italiano 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.