Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: BK Hacken vs Kalmar FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

BK Hacken1.97

Kalmar FF1.18

1X2

55% 23% 22%

BK Hacken Draw Kalmar FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

BK Hacken 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWLLLW

Kalmar FF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

BK Hacken 1–1–4 Kalmar FF (6 last)

Kalmar FF1-0BK Hacken
Kalmar FF3-2BK Hacken
BK Hacken3-1Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF1-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken1-3Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF1-1BK Hacken

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1491 · Kalmar FF 1531

	BK Hacken	Draw	Kalmar FF
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalmar FF (rating 1491 vs 1531).
H2H favours Kalmar FF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Hacken	Kalmar FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	2.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +8’	1.67	4.00	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 1–1–4 Kalmar FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/11/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	1-0 HT 1-0	BK Hacken
28/06/24 Club Friendly List	Kalmar FF	3-2 HT 1-2	BK Hacken
12/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	3-1 HT 1-1	Kalmar FF
24/09/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	1-0 HT 1-0	BK Hacken
15/04/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	1-3 HT 0-2	Kalmar FF
12/09/22 Sweden Allsvenskan	Kalmar FF	1-1 HT 1-0	BK Hacken

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	14	12	2	0	40	17	38
2	Hammarby	15	8	3	4	33	15	27
3	Djurgarden	13	7	2	4	27	15	23
4	BK Hacken	13	6	5	2	27	22	23
5	Vasteras SK	14	6	4	4	24	23	22
6	Elfsborg	15	5	6	4	20	18	21
7	AIK	13	6	3	4	18	18	21
8	Malmo FF	14	6	2	6	28	24	20
9	GAIS	15	5	5	5	19	15	20
10	Mjällby AIF	14	4	5	5	20	19	17
11	Kalmar FF	14	5	2	7	18	20	17
12	Brommapojkarna	14	4	5	5	19	22	17
13	IFK Goteborg	14	3	4	7	17	33	13
14	Degerfors	14	2	4	8	12	24	10
15	Orgryte IS	14	2	4	8	14	33	10
16	Halmstad	14	1	4	9	11	29	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Hacken	Kalmar FF
Halmstad	2-0 W	2-0 W
Orgryte IS	3-4 L	3-0 W
Hammarby	1-4 L	0-2 L
Mjällby AIF	1-0 W	2-1 W
Malmo FF	3-2 W	2-2 D
Degerfors	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kalmar FF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

BK Hacken

DDWWDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	8	4	L
06/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-4	7	4	L
24/06	Hammarby Club Friendly List	1-3	1-4	6	0	L
31/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	3-2	7	5	W
25/05	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
17/05	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
10/05	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	3-2	3-2	4	4	W
02/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
27/04	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-2	3	1	D

Kalmar FF

WLWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
20/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
12/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
05/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
27/06	Brommapojkarna Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/06	AIK Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
30/05	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
23/05	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
17/05	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
10/05	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	12	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Hacken vs Kalmar FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Hacken win (55%). Probabilities: BK Hacken 55%, draw 23%, Kalmar FF 22%.

How many goals are expected in BK Hacken vs Kalmar FF?

The model expects 3.15 goals (BK Hacken 1.97 · Kalmar FF 1.18), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs Kalmar FF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.