Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 02/08, 14:00

Prediction: IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

IFK Goteborg1.99

Degerfors1.17

1X2

55% 24% 21%

IFK Goteborg Draw Degerfors

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Goteborg 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Degerfors 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

IFK Goteborg 6–0 Degerfors (6 last)

IFK Goteborg3-1Degerfors
IFK Goteborg3-0Degerfors
Degerfors1-3IFK Goteborg
Degerfors1-2IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg6-0Degerfors
IFK Goteborg4-1Degerfors

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Goteborg (rating 1484 vs 1416).
H2H favours IFK Goteborg: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Goteborg	Degerfors
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.3	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	0/10/90%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.71 → 1.71	Pinn 1.71
X	3.85 → 3.85	Pinn 3.85
2	4.60 → 4.60	Pinn 4.60

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:22	1.71	3.85	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Goteborg 6–0–0 Degerfors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Sweden Cup	IFK Goteborg	3-1 HT 3-0	Degerfors
04/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	3-0 HT 2-0	Degerfors
19/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	1-3 HT 0-3	IFK Goteborg
19/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	Degerfors	1-2 HT 0-0	IFK Goteborg
04/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	6-0 HT 3-0	Degerfors
20/01/23 Club Friendly List	IFK Goteborg	4-1 HT 1-0	Degerfors

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	14	12	2	0	40	17	38
2	Hammarby	15	8	3	4	33	15	27
3	Djurgarden	13	7	2	4	27	15	23
4	BK Hacken	13	6	5	2	27	22	23
5	Vasteras SK	14	6	4	4	24	23	22
6	Elfsborg	15	5	6	4	20	18	21
7	AIK	13	6	3	4	18	18	21
8	Malmo FF	14	6	2	6	28	24	20
9	GAIS	15	5	5	5	19	15	20
10	Mjällby AIF	14	4	5	5	20	19	17
11	Kalmar FF	14	5	2	7	18	20	17
12	Brommapojkarna	14	4	5	5	19	22	17
13	IFK Goteborg	14	3	4	7	17	33	13
14	Degerfors	14	2	4	8	12	24	10
15	Orgryte IS	14	2	4	8	14	33	10
16	Halmstad	14	1	4	9	11	29	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Goteborg	Degerfors
Brommapojkarna	2-1 W	2-2 D
Malmo FF	0-4 L	0-1 L
Vasteras SK	5-4 W	0-2 L
Mjällby AIF	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Goteborg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Goteborg

WDWDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-4	4	5	L
21/07	FC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-2	1-2	5	7	L
17/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
05/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	10	2	L
27/06	Ham-Kam Club Friendly List	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
18/06	Valerenga Club Friendly List	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
31/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	4-2	5-4	3	2	W
25/05	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	2	9	D
19/05	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-2	6	5	W

Degerfors

DLDLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
19/07	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-4	2	1	L
12/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-2	6	9	L
04/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
26/06	Lillestrom Club Friendly List	1-2	3-2	2	1	W
31/05	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	2-2	3	1	D
23/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
16/05	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
09/05	Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	1-4	3	3	L
02/05	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Goteborg win (55%). Probabilities: IFK Goteborg 55%, draw 24%, Degerfors 21%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors?

The model expects 3.16 goals (IFK Goteborg 1.99 · Degerfors 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.