Prediction: Degerfors vs Djurgarden
| Degerfors | Draw | Djurgarden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 20% | 24% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1450 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Djurgarden: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Degerfors | Djurgarden | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 3.4 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Degerfors 2–1–3 Djurgarden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 06/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Degerfors |
| 10/03/24 Sweden Cup | Djurgarden | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Degerfors |
| 27/08/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Degerfors |
| 30/04/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Djurgarden |
| 01/10/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Degerfors | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Djurgarden |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 15 | 32 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | AIK | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | Djurgarden | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 19 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | GAIS | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 23 | 19 |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 18 |
| 10 | Mjällby AIF | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | Kalmar FF | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 13 | IFK Goteborg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 9 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Degerfors | Djurgarden |
|---|---|---|
| Hammarby | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Malmo FF | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Brommapojkarna | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| BK Hacken | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Degerfors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Lillestrom Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
Djurgarden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sirius Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Degerfors vs Djurgarden?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Djurgarden win (55%). Probabilities: Degerfors 21%, draw 24%, Djurgarden 55%.
How many goals are expected in Degerfors vs Djurgarden?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Degerfors 1.11 · Djurgarden 1.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Degerfors vs Djurgarden?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.