Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 14/09, 19:00

Prediction: Djurgarden vs GAIS

Team pages: Djurgarden · GAIS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Djurgarden1.93
GAIS0.92
1X2
60% 24% 16%
Djurgarden Draw GAIS
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Djurgarden 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLWWWW
GAIS 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLDWLLWD
Head-to-head
Djurgarden 2–1–2 GAIS (5 last)
  • GAIS0-1Djurgarden
  • GAIS3-2Djurgarden
  • Djurgarden0-0GAIS
  • GAIS3-0Djurgarden
  • Djurgarden1-0GAIS
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djurgarden 1599 · GAIS 1524
DjurgardenDrawGAIS
Our model60%24%16%
Market60%24%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Djurgarden (rating 1599 vs 1524).
  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DjurgardenGAIS
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.41.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.63 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Djurgarden 212 GAIS

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Sweden Allsvenskan
GAIS0-1
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
19/10/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
GAIS3-2
HT 2-1
Djurgarden
21/04/25
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden0-0
HT 0-0
GAIS
22/09/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
GAIS3-0
HT 1-0
Djurgarden
28/04/24
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden1-0
HT 0-0
GAIS

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sirius 201433 482745
2 Djurgarden 201226 441938
3 Hammarby 201145 451937
4 BK Hacken 21894 343033
5 AIK 20956 293132
6 Vasteras SK 21957 323532
7 Elfsborg 20875 282131
8 Malmo FF 20938 333030
9 IFK Goteborg 21858 304129
10 GAIS 20767 251827
11 Brommapojkarna 20767 293227
12 Mjällby AIF 20569 263421
13 Kalmar FF 205411 213019
14 Degerfors 205411 193119
15 Orgryte IS 203611 234315
16 Halmstad 212514 143911

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDjurgardenGAIS
Kalmar FF 1-0 W 3-0 W
Malmo FF 3-0 W 0-1 L
AIK 1-3 L 0-2 L
Halmstad 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Djurgarden (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djurgarden

WDWWLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 64 W
03/09 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-0 34 W
31/08 Mjällby AIF
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-0 4-0 41 W
24/08 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 3-0 76 W
16/08 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-3 1-3 56 L
10/08 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-1 0-1 73 L
03/08 Vasteras SK
Sweden Allsvenskan
3-0 6-0 53 W
25/07 Degerfors
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 1-0 62 W
20/07 Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-0 134 D
13/07 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 3-0 101 W

GAIS

WDWLDWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 BK Hacken
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-0 32 D
31/08 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
2-0 4-0 74 W
23/08 Hammarby
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-2 0-2 12 L
16/08 Malmo FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-1 85 L
09/08 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 2-0 71 W
26/07 Halmstad
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-1 106 D
18/07 AIK
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 0-2 52 L
12/07 Elfsborg
Sweden Allsvenskan
0-0 1-0 63 W
06/07 Brommapojkarna
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-1 1-1 82 D
30/05 Kalmar FF
Sweden Allsvenskan
1-0 3-0 83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djurgarden vs GAIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Djurgarden win (60%). Probabilities: Djurgarden 60%, draw 24%, GAIS 16%.

How many goals are expected in Djurgarden vs GAIS?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Djurgarden 1.93 · GAIS 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Djurgarden vs GAIS?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.