Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: GAIS vs BK Hacken

Team pages: GAIS · BK Hacken

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

GAIS1.5

BK Hacken1.43

1X2

38% 27% 35%

GAIS Draw BK Hacken

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

GAIS 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLDWLL

BK Hacken 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDLWWL

Head-to-head

GAIS 4–2 BK Hacken (6 last)

BK Hacken2-1GAIS
GAIS2-1BK Hacken
BK Hacken1-3GAIS
BK Hacken1-2GAIS
GAIS3-0BK Hacken
BK Hacken3-0GAIS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GAIS 1507 · BK Hacken 1524

	GAIS	Draw	BK Hacken
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	38%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GAIS: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GAIS	BK Hacken
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.67
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.92 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:58 +1’	2.40	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:24	2.25	3.67	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GAIS 4–0–2 BK Hacken

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	2-1 HT 0-0	GAIS
31/08/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	2-1 HT 1-0	BK Hacken
29/06/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	1-3 HT 0-2	GAIS
03/11/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	BK Hacken	1-2 HT 1-1	GAIS
25/05/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	GAIS	3-0 HT 2-0	BK Hacken
23/02/20 Sweden Cup	BK Hacken	3-0 HT 2-0	GAIS

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	18	13	3	2	47	26	42
2	Hammarby	19	11	3	5	44	18	36
3	Elfsborg	19	8	7	4	27	19	31
4	BK Hacken	19	8	7	4	33	29	31
5	AIK	18	9	4	5	28	27	31
6	Djurgarden	17	9	2	6	37	19	29
7	Vasteras SK	19	8	5	6	28	33	29
8	Malmo FF	18	8	2	8	32	30	26
9	Brommapojkarna	18	6	6	6	27	27	24
10	GAIS	18	6	5	7	21	18	23
11	IFK Goteborg	19	6	5	8	24	39	23
12	Mjällby AIF	16	5	5	6	24	23	20
13	Kalmar FF	19	5	4	10	21	29	19
14	Degerfors	19	4	4	11	17	31	16
15	Orgryte IS	19	3	5	11	22	42	14
16	Halmstad	19	2	5	12	13	35	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GAIS	BK Hacken
Hammarby	0-2 L	0-3 L
Halmstad	2-0 W	1-0 W
AIK	0-2 L	0-0 D
Kalmar FF	3-0 W	1-1 D
Sirius	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: GAIS (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GAIS

WLWDWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
16/08	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
09/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
26/07	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
18/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
12/07	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
06/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
30/05	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
24/05	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-2	4	4	L
20/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	2	4	W

BK Hacken

WLLWDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
21/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
17/08	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
09/08	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
01/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
27/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
19/07	Halmstad Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/07	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	2-1	3-4	8	4	L
06/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	2-4	7	4	L
31/05	Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	3-2	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GAIS vs BK Hacken?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GAIS win (38%). Probabilities: GAIS 38%, draw 27%, BK Hacken 35%.

How many goals are expected in GAIS vs BK Hacken?

The model expects 2.93 goals (GAIS 1.5 · BK Hacken 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs BK Hacken?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.