Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 12/09, 17:30

Prediction: IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad

Team pages: IFK Goteborg · Halmstad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

IFK Goteborg2.01

Halmstad0.94

1X2

61% 23% 16%

IFK Goteborg Draw Halmstad

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Goteborg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLDW

Halmstad 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLDWL

Head-to-head

IFK Goteborg 2–2–2 Halmstad (6 last)

Halmstad1-1IFK Goteborg
Halmstad0-3IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg1-0Halmstad
IFK Goteborg1-1Halmstad
Halmstad1-0IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg0-1Halmstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Goteborg 1524 · Halmstad 1420

	IFK Goteborg	Draw	Halmstad
Our model	61%	23%	16%
Market	61%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Goteborg (rating 1524 vs 1420).
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Goteborg	Halmstad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	0.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 8.6	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:43 +33’	1.50	4.10	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Goteborg 2–2–2 Halmstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-1 HT 0-0	IFK Goteborg
26/10/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	0-3 HT 0-1	IFK Goteborg
05/04/25 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-0 HT 0-0	Halmstad
23/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	IFK Goteborg	1-1 HT 0-0	Halmstad
07/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan	Halmstad	1-0 HT 1-0	IFK Goteborg
26/01/24 Club Friendly List	IFK Goteborg	0-1 HT 0-0	Halmstad

Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sirius	20	14	3	3	48	27	45
2	Hammarby	20	11	4	5	45	19	37
3	Djurgarden	19	11	2	6	43	19	35
4	BK Hacken	20	8	8	4	33	29	32
5	Elfsborg	20	8	7	5	28	21	31
6	AIK	18	9	4	5	28	27	31
7	Malmo FF	19	9	2	8	33	30	29
8	Vasteras SK	20	8	5	7	28	34	29
9	GAIS	20	7	6	7	25	18	27
10	Brommapojkarna	20	7	6	7	29	32	27
11	IFK Goteborg	19	6	5	8	24	39	23
12	Mjällby AIF	18	5	5	8	24	29	20
13	Kalmar FF	19	5	4	10	21	29	19
14	Degerfors	20	5	4	11	19	31	19
15	Orgryte IS	20	3	6	11	23	43	15
16	Halmstad	20	2	5	13	13	37	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Goteborg	Halmstad
Orgryte IS	1-0 W	1-1 D
Degerfors	0-3 L	0-2 L
Kalmar FF	3-2 W	1-0 W
Sirius	1-4 L	0-2 L
Vasteras SK	5-4 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Goteborg

WLLWLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
23/08	Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
16/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-3	14	2	L
09/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	3-2	13	3	W
02/08	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
26/07	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-4	4	5	L
17/07	Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/07	Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
05/07	AIK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-2	10	2	L
31/05	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	4-2	5-4	3	2	W

Halmstad

LLLDLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
22/08	Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
17/08	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
09/08	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
03/08	Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
26/07	GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
19/07	BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
13/07	Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
04/07	Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan	1-2	1-3	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Goteborg win (61%). Probabilities: IFK Goteborg 61%, draw 23%, Halmstad 16%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad?

The model expects 2.95 goals (IFK Goteborg 2.01 · Halmstad 0.94), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.