Football · Sweden Superettan · 01/09, 19:00

Prediction: Helsingborg vs Orebro SK

Team pages: Helsingborg · Orebro SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Helsingborg1.91

Orebro SK1.57

1X2

44% 25% 30%

Helsingborg Draw Orebro SK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Helsingborg 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDLLDL

Orebro SK 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLDLLDW

Head-to-head

Helsingborg 5–1 Orebro SK (6 last)

Orebro SK1-2Helsingborg
Helsingborg3-2Orebro SK
Orebro SK0-2Helsingborg
Orebro SK2-1Helsingborg
Helsingborg1-0Orebro SK
Helsingborg4-1Orebro SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Helsingborg 1499 · Orebro SK 1453

	Helsingborg	Draw	Orebro SK
Our model	45%	24%	31%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Helsingborg (rating 1499 vs 1453).
H2H favours Helsingborg: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helsingborg	Orebro SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.3	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.13
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.77 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +3’	2.05	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:35 +1’	2.20	3.79	2.90
06:29	2.20	3.80▲	2.91▲
09:34 +1’	2.07▼	3.85▲	3.11▲
14:43 +1’	2.13▲	3.77▼	3.04▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Helsingborg 5–0–1 Orebro SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-2 HT 0-2	Helsingborg
19/10/25 Sweden Superettan	Helsingborg	3-2 HT 0-1	Orebro SK
15/04/25 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	0-2 HT 0-0	Helsingborg
03/11/24 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	2-1 HT 1-1	Helsingborg
16/06/24 Sweden Superettan	Helsingborg	1-0 HT 1-0	Orebro SK
03/10/23 Sweden Superettan	Helsingborg	4-1 HT 2-0	Orebro SK

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	20	14	2	4	38	12	44
2	Falkenbergs FF	20	10	5	5	37	29	35
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	20	10	4	6	35	26	34
4	Ostersunds FK	20	9	7	4	29	22	34
5	Nordic United FC	20	8	8	4	31	27	32
6	Osters IF	20	10	2	8	31	29	32
7	Landskrona BoIS	20	8	6	6	26	21	30
8	Sandvikens IF	20	8	5	7	35	28	29
9	IK Oddevold	20	7	8	5	33	28	29
10	Helsingborg	20	7	4	9	33	40	25
11	Norrby IF	20	4	11	5	25	27	23
12	IK Brage	20	5	6	9	34	38	21
13	Ljungskile	20	5	6	9	25	29	21
14	Orebro SK	20	4	7	9	20	32	19
15	IFK Varnamo	20	5	4	11	24	38	19
16	GIF Sundsvall	20	3	1	16	14	44	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helsingborg	Orebro SK
IK Oddevold	1-3 L	0-0 D
GIF Sundsvall	1-1 D	0-1 L
IFK Varnamo	1-2 L	1-3 L
Nordic United FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Falkenbergs FF	3-2 W	1-1 D
Sandvikens IF	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Helsingborg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helsingborg

LWWLWDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	5	6	L
15/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
11/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-2	9	1	L
01/08	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
28/07	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	10	2	D
21/07	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	3-2	3-2	3	3	W
28/06	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-2	2-4	9	5	L
21/06	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-1	5-2	6	0	W
16/06	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
11/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-3	10	5	L

Orebro SK

LDDLLDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
14/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-3	10	2	D
10/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	11	1	L
03/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-3	6	2	L
27/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/07	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
27/06	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-3	4	4	L
22/06	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-1	9	5	D
14/06	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	11	2	D
10/06	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helsingborg vs Orebro SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Helsingborg win (44%). Probabilities: Helsingborg 44%, draw 25%, Orebro SK 30%.

How many goals are expected in Helsingborg vs Orebro SK?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Helsingborg 1.91 · Orebro SK 1.57), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Helsingborg vs Orebro SK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.