Football · Sweden Superettan · 09/09, 19:00

Prediction: Nordic United FC vs IFK Varnamo

Team pages: Nordic United FC · IFK Varnamo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Nordic United FC1.67

IFK Varnamo0.96

1X2

53% 27% 21%

Nordic United FC Draw IFK Varnamo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nordic United FC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDDDDWLW

IFK Varnamo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWDDWD

Head-to-head

Nordic United FC 1–0 IFK Varnamo (1 last)

IFK Varnamo0-2Nordic United FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nordic United FC (rating 1554 vs 1503).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nordic United FC	IFK Varnamo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.5	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.02 → 1.98▼	Pinn 1.98
X	3.63 → 3.61▼	Pinn 3.61
2	3.42 → 3.53▲	Pinn 3.53

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:55 +82’	2.02	3.63	3.42
19:13 +109’	2.06▲	3.58▼	3.32▼
07:15 +16’	1.98▼	3.61▲	3.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nordic United FC 1–0–0 IFK Varnamo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	0-2 HT 0-0	Nordic United FC

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	22	15	3	4	43	15	48
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	22	11	5	6	39	28	38
3	Falkenbergs FF	22	11	5	6	42	32	38
4	Ostersunds FK	21	9	8	4	30	23	35
5	Nordic United FC	22	9	8	5	34	31	35
6	Landskrona BoIS	22	9	7	6	30	23	34
7	Sandvikens IF	22	9	6	7	38	29	33
8	Osters IF	22	10	3	9	33	32	33
9	IK Oddevold	22	8	8	6	36	32	32
10	Helsingborg	22	7	5	10	34	43	26
11	Norrby IF	22	4	11	7	26	31	23
12	IFK Varnamo	22	6	5	11	26	39	23
13	Ljungskile	22	5	7	10	27	32	22
14	IK Brage	22	5	6	11	35	43	21
15	Orebro SK	21	4	8	9	21	33	20
16	GIF Sundsvall	22	5	1	16	16	44	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nordic United FC	IFK Varnamo
IK Brage	2-1 W	0-0 D
Varbergs BoIS FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Ljungskile	2-2 D	1-0 W
Helsingborg	1-1 D	2-1 W
Orebro SK	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Varnamo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nordic United FC

DDWDDDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
29/08	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	15	4	L
23/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	8	3	W
15/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
08/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
02/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
28/07	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
19/07	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
27/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-3	5	1	D
21/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

IFK Varnamo

LLLDWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	12	0	D
29/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
11/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
03/08	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	3-1	6	2	W
25/07	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
19/07	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-3	8	3	L
28/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
21/06	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-5	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nordic United FC vs IFK Varnamo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nordic United FC win (53%). Probabilities: Nordic United FC 53%, draw 27%, IFK Varnamo 21%.

How many goals are expected in Nordic United FC vs IFK Varnamo?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Nordic United FC 1.67 · IFK Varnamo 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nordic United FC vs IFK Varnamo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.