Football · Sweden Superettan · 10/09, 19:00
Prediction: Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping
Team pages: Varbergs BoIS FC · IFK Norrkoping
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Varbergs BoIS FC1.33
IFK Norrkoping1.5
1X2
Varbergs BoIS FC
Draw
IFK Norrkoping
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Varbergs BoIS FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
IFK Norrkoping
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Varbergs BoIS FC
1–1–4
IFK Norrkoping
(6 last)
- IFK Norrkoping2-0Varbergs BoIS FC
- IFK Norrkoping4-3Varbergs BoIS FC
- Varbergs BoIS FC1-3IFK Norrkoping
- Varbergs BoIS FC1-1IFK Norrkoping
- IFK Norrkoping0-1Varbergs BoIS FC
- IFK Norrkoping2-1Varbergs BoIS FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Norrkoping (rating 1522 vs 1603).
- H2H favours IFK Norrkoping: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Varbergs BoIS FC | IFK Norrkoping | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varbergs BoIS FC 1–1–4 IFK Norrkoping
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/26 Sweden Superettan | IFK Norrkoping | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 06/11/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping | 4-3 HT 0-2 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 13/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-3 HT 1-0 | IFK Norrkoping |
| 28/08/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IFK Norrkoping |
| 03/04/22 Sweden Allsvenskan | IFK Norrkoping | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
| 05/03/22 Sweden Cup | IFK Norrkoping | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Varbergs BoIS FC |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 38 |
| 3 | Falkenbergs FF | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 38 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 35 |
| 5 | Nordic United FC | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 35 |
| 6 | Landskrona BoIS | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 34 |
| 7 | Sandvikens IF | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 8 | Osters IF | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 33 |
| 9 | IK Oddevold | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 32 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | 26 |
| 11 | Norrby IF | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 31 | 23 |
| 12 | IFK Varnamo | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 39 | 23 |
| 13 | Ljungskile | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 22 |
| 14 | IK Brage | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 43 | 21 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 20 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 44 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Varbergs BoIS FC | IFK Norrkoping |
|---|---|---|
| Nordic United FC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Sandvikens IF | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Falkenbergs FF | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Landskrona BoIS | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: IFK Norrkoping (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varbergs BoIS FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 30/08 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/06 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
IFK Norrkoping
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/07 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Norrby IF Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Norrkoping win (40%). Probabilities: Varbergs BoIS FC 32%, draw 27%, IFK Norrkoping 40%.
How many goals are expected in Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Varbergs BoIS FC 1.33 · IFK Norrkoping 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Varbergs BoIS FC vs IFK Norrkoping?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.