Football · Sweden Superettan · 10/09, 19:00

Prediction: GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK

Team pages: GIF Sundsvall · Orebro SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

GIF Sundsvall1.15

Orebro SK1.47

1X2

29% 28% 44%

GIF Sundsvall Draw Orebro SK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

GIF Sundsvall 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLWW

Orebro SK 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDLLDWD

Head-to-head

GIF Sundsvall 3–2–1 Orebro SK (6 last)

Orebro SK0-1GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall1-1Orebro SK
Orebro SK1-2GIF Sundsvall
Orebro SK0-0GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall1-3Orebro SK
Orebro SK0-1GIF Sundsvall

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GIF Sundsvall 1450 · Orebro SK 1476

	GIF Sundsvall	Draw	Orebro SK
Our model	28%	28%	43%
Market	29%	27%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GIF Sundsvall: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GIF Sundsvall	Orebro SK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.30

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +2’	3.10	3.30	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GIF Sundsvall 3–2–1 Orebro SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	0-1 HT 0-0	GIF Sundsvall
26/07/25 Sweden Superettan	GIF Sundsvall	1-1 HT 0-1	Orebro SK
17/05/25 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	1-2 HT 1-0	GIF Sundsvall
31/08/24 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	0-0 HT 0-0	GIF Sundsvall
29/06/24 Sweden Superettan	GIF Sundsvall	1-3 HT 0-1	Orebro SK
24/10/23 Sweden Superettan	Orebro SK	0-1 HT 0-0	GIF Sundsvall

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	22	15	3	4	43	15	48
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	22	11	5	6	39	28	38
3	Falkenbergs FF	22	11	5	6	42	32	38
4	Ostersunds FK	21	9	8	4	30	23	35
5	Nordic United FC	22	9	8	5	34	31	35
6	Landskrona BoIS	22	9	7	6	30	23	34
7	Sandvikens IF	22	9	6	7	38	29	33
8	Osters IF	22	10	3	9	33	32	33
9	IK Oddevold	22	8	8	6	36	32	32
10	Helsingborg	22	7	5	10	34	43	26
11	Norrby IF	22	4	11	7	26	31	23
12	IFK Varnamo	22	6	5	11	26	39	23
13	Ljungskile	22	5	7	10	27	32	22
14	IK Brage	22	5	6	11	35	43	21
15	Orebro SK	21	4	8	9	21	33	20
16	GIF Sundsvall	22	5	1	16	16	44	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GIF Sundsvall	Orebro SK
IK Brage	1-0 W	3-3 D
Norrby IF	1-0 W	1-3 L
Helsingborg	1-1 D	1-1 D
Sandvikens IF	0-5 L	1-1 D
Falkenbergs FF	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 4 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GIF Sundsvall

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
25/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
15/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
07/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
01/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-3	0-5	1	2	L
26/07	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
20/07	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
27/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
21/06	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-5	4	0	L

Orebro SK

DDLLDLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
25/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
14/08	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-3	10	2	D
10/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-2	1-3	11	1	L
03/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-3	6	2	L
27/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/07	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	2	0	L
27/06	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-3	4	4	L
22/06	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-1	9	5	D
14/06	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	11	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Orebro SK win (44%). Probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 29%, draw 28%, Orebro SK 44%.

How many goals are expected in GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK?

The model expects 2.62 goals (GIF Sundsvall 1.15 · Orebro SK 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GIF Sundsvall vs Orebro SK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.