Football · Sweden Superettan · 09/09, 19:00

Prediction: Ljungskile vs Norrby IF

Team pages: Ljungskile · Norrby IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Ljungskile1.59

Norrby IF1.33

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Ljungskile Draw Norrby IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ljungskile 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLDLD

Norrby IF 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWLDLL

Head-to-head

Ljungskile 1–5 Norrby IF (6 last)

Norrby IF2-1Ljungskile
Norrby IF4-2Ljungskile
Ljungskile0-2Norrby IF
Ljungskile0-4Norrby IF
Norrby IF3-0Ljungskile
Ljungskile3-0Norrby IF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Norrby IF: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ljungskile	Norrby IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.1	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.79

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.12 → 1.99▼	Pinn 1.99
X	3.71 → 3.69▼	Pinn 3.69
2	3.12 → 3.45▲	Pinn 3.45

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +2’	2.12	3.71	3.12
20:01 +62’	2.01▼	3.69▼	3.39▲
03:23 +18’	1.99▼	3.69	3.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ljungskile 1–0–5 Norrby IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden Superettan	Norrby IF	2-1 HT 0-1	Ljungskile
08/09/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Norrby IF	4-2 HT 4-1	Ljungskile
05/04/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ljungskile	0-2 HT 0-1	Norrby IF
05/08/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ljungskile	0-4 HT 0-2	Norrby IF
27/06/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Norrby IF	3-0 HT 1-0	Ljungskile
25/08/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ljungskile	3-0 HT 1-0	Norrby IF

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	22	15	3	4	43	15	48
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	22	11	5	6	39	28	38
3	Falkenbergs FF	22	11	5	6	42	32	38
4	Ostersunds FK	21	9	8	4	30	23	35
5	Nordic United FC	22	9	8	5	34	31	35
6	Landskrona BoIS	22	9	7	6	30	23	34
7	Sandvikens IF	22	9	6	7	38	29	33
8	Osters IF	22	10	3	9	33	32	33
9	IK Oddevold	22	8	8	6	36	32	32
10	Helsingborg	22	7	5	10	34	43	26
11	Norrby IF	22	4	11	7	26	31	23
12	IFK Varnamo	22	6	5	11	26	39	23
13	Ljungskile	22	5	7	10	27	32	22
14	IK Brage	22	5	6	11	35	43	21
15	Orebro SK	21	4	8	9	21	33	20
16	GIF Sundsvall	22	5	1	16	16	44	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ljungskile	Norrby IF
IFK Norrkoping	2-2 D	1-0 W
Ostersunds FK	0-0 D	2-2 D
IK Oddevold	0-1 L	0-0 D
Nordic United FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
Sandvikens IF	2-1 W	1-1 D
Orebro SK	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Norrby IF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ljungskile

DWWWDLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
29/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
24/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
02/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
26/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/07	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-2	1	3	W
27/06	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	1-2	3-2	8	4	W
22/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	7	5	D

Norrby IF

DWWDDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-3	8	5	L
31/08	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
23/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
15/08	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
10/08	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	1	1	W
31/07	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
26/07	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
20/07	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-0	3-1	7	1	W
28/06	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
21/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ljungskile vs Norrby IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ljungskile win (42%). Probabilities: Ljungskile 42%, draw 27%, Norrby IF 31%.

How many goals are expected in Ljungskile vs Norrby IF?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Ljungskile 1.59 · Norrby IF 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ljungskile vs Norrby IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.