Football · Sweden Superettan · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Norrby IF1.45
Ostersunds FK1.39
1X2
Norrby IF
Draw
Ostersunds FK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Norrby IF
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Ostersunds FK
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Norrby IF
1–1–1
Ostersunds FK
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ostersunds FK (rating 1494 vs 1540).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Norrby IF | Ostersunds FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 5.2 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Norrby IF 1–1–1 Ostersunds FK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Sweden Superettan | Ostersunds FK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Norrby IF |
| 05/11/22 Sweden Superettan | Ostersunds FK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Norrby IF |
| 28/06/22 Sweden Superettan | Norrby IF | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ostersunds FK |
Standings · Sweden Superettan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | IFK Norrkoping | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Falkenbergs FF | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 28 |
| 4 | Landskrona BoIS | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Ostersunds FK | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Nordic United FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Osters IF | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 25 | 23 |
| 8 | IK Oddevold | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Helsingborg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 20 |
| 10 | Sandvikens IF | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 19 |
| 11 | Ljungskile | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | IK Brage | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 29 | 16 |
| 14 | Orebro SK | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 34 | 10 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Norrby IF | Ostersunds FK |
|---|---|---|
| GIF Sundsvall | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| IFK Norrkoping | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Nordic United FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| IK Oddevold | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ljungskile | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Landskrona BoIS | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Norrby IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Varbergs BoIS FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/06 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/05 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Ostersunds FK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/06 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Norrby IF win (38%). Probabilities: Norrby IF 38%, draw 27%, Ostersunds FK 35%.
How many goals are expected in Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Norrby IF 1.45 · Ostersunds FK 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Norrby IF vs Ostersunds FK?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.