Football · Sweden Superettan · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: Nordic United FC vs Ljungskile

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Nordic United FC1.61

Ljungskile1.34

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Nordic United FC Draw Ljungskile

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nordic United FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLDDW

Ljungskile 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLDDDWWW

Head-to-head

Nordic United FC 1–0 Ljungskile (1 last)

Ljungskile0-2Nordic United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nordic United FC 1535 · Ljungskile 1523

	Nordic United FC	Draw	Ljungskile
Our model	43%	27%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nordic United FC	Ljungskile
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +12’	2.10	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nordic United FC 1–0–0 Ljungskile

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden Superettan	Ljungskile	0-2 HT 0-0	Nordic United FC

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Falkenbergs FF	16	9	4	3	32	24	31
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	15	9	3	3	32	19	30
3	IFK Norrkoping	15	9	2	4	26	10	29
4	Ostersunds FK	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
5	Landskrona BoIS	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	Nordic United FC	15	7	4	4	25	22	25
7	Osters IF	15	7	2	6	24	25	23
8	Helsingborg	15	7	2	6	29	31	23
9	Ljungskile	16	6	4	6	23	21	22
10	IK Oddevold	15	5	5	5	28	26	20
11	Sandvikens IF	16	5	4	7	25	25	19
12	Norrby IF	16	3	9	4	21	23	18
13	IK Brage	16	4	5	7	28	29	17
14	Orebro SK	15	3	5	7	13	22	14
15	IFK Varnamo	16	3	2	11	17	34	11
16	GIF Sundsvall	16	3	0	13	13	36	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nordic United FC	Ljungskile
Orebro SK	2-0 W	3-2 W
IK Oddevold	3-3 D	0-0 D
Norrby IF	0-0 D	1-2 L
Ostersunds FK	1-1 D	1-1 D
IFK Varnamo	2-0 W	3-2 W
IK Brage	1-0 W	2-2 D
Osters IF	4-2 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nordic United FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nordic United FC

WDLWWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-0	2	0	W
27/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	2-0	3-3	5	1	D
21/06	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
16/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-2	0-2	6	7	L
09/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
31/05	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
23/05	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
17/05	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-4	2	1	L
13/05	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
09/05	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	4-2	3	3	W

Ljungskile

WWLLDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/07	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-2	1	3	W
27/06	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	1-2	3-2	8	4	W
22/06	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
14/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
09/06	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-2	7	7	D
30/05	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
23/05	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-1	7	1	W
14/05	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nordic United FC vs Ljungskile?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nordic United FC win (43%). Probabilities: Nordic United FC 43%, draw 26%, Ljungskile 31%.

How many goals are expected in Nordic United FC vs Ljungskile?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Nordic United FC 1.61 · Ljungskile 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nordic United FC vs Ljungskile?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.