Football · Sweden Superettan · 01/08, 17:00

Prediction: IK Brage vs Landskrona BoIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

IK Brage1.66

Landskrona BoIS1.6

1X2

38% 25% 36%

IK Brage Draw Landskrona BoIS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Brage 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLWLLD

Landskrona BoIS 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

IK Brage 1–3–2 Landskrona BoIS (6 last)

Landskrona BoIS2-2IK Brage
IK Brage4-1Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS2-2IK Brage
Landskrona BoIS3-0IK Brage
IK Brage1-1Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS3-0IK Brage

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Brage 1471 · Landskrona BoIS 1554

	IK Brage	Draw	Landskrona BoIS
Our model	39%	25%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Landskrona BoIS (rating 1471 vs 1554).
H2H favours Landskrona BoIS: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Brage	Landskrona BoIS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +1’	2.35	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Brage 1–3–2 Landskrona BoIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden Superettan	Landskrona BoIS	2-2 HT 1-1	IK Brage
08/11/25 Sweden Superettan	IK Brage	4-1 HT 0-1	Landskrona BoIS
30/03/25 Sweden Superettan	Landskrona BoIS	2-2 HT 1-0	IK Brage
26/10/24 Sweden Superettan	Landskrona BoIS	3-0 HT 2-0	IK Brage
21/04/24 Sweden Superettan	IK Brage	1-1 HT 0-1	Landskrona BoIS
19/08/23 Sweden Superettan	Landskrona BoIS	3-0 HT 0-0	IK Brage

Standings · Sweden Superettan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Falkenbergs FF	16	9	4	3	32	24	31
2	Varbergs BoIS FC	15	9	3	3	32	19	30
3	IFK Norrkoping	15	9	2	4	26	10	29
4	Ostersunds FK	16	7	5	4	26	21	26
5	Landskrona BoIS	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	Nordic United FC	15	7	4	4	25	22	25
7	Osters IF	15	7	2	6	24	25	23
8	Helsingborg	15	7	2	6	29	31	23
9	Ljungskile	16	6	4	6	23	21	22
10	IK Oddevold	15	5	5	5	28	26	20
11	Sandvikens IF	16	5	4	7	25	25	19
12	Norrby IF	16	3	9	4	21	23	18
13	IK Brage	16	4	5	7	28	29	17
14	Orebro SK	15	3	5	7	13	22	14
15	IFK Varnamo	16	3	2	11	17	34	11
16	GIF Sundsvall	16	3	0	13	13	36	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Brage	Landskrona BoIS
IFK Varnamo	0-0 D	1-0 W
Falkenbergs FF	2-4 L	2-1 W
Sandvikens IF	2-3 L	1-0 W
Nordic United FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Ostersunds FK	2-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Landskrona BoIS (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IK Brage

LDLDDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
18/07	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-3	8	7	L
26/06	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	2-1	2-4	2	2	L
21/06	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	2-1	5-1	9	4	W
14/06	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
09/06	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-2	2	7	D
30/05	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
23/05	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
16/05	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	12	4	D
13/05	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-2	2-4	1	2	L

Landskrona BoIS

DLWDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
11/07	Falkenbergs FF Club Friendly List	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
28/06	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
22/06	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-2	3-2	0	5	W
16/06	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
11/06	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
30/05	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
24/05	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
18/05	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
12/05	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Brage vs Landskrona BoIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Brage win (38%). Probabilities: IK Brage 38%, draw 25%, Landskrona BoIS 36%.

How many goals are expected in IK Brage vs Landskrona BoIS?

The model expects 3.26 goals (IK Brage 1.66 · Landskrona BoIS 1.6), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Brage vs Landskrona BoIS?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.