Football · Sweden Superettan · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: IK Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo

Team pages: IK Oddevold · IFK Varnamo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

IK Oddevold1.54

IFK Varnamo1.21

1X2

44% 27% 29%

IK Oddevold Draw IFK Varnamo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Oddevold 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWDWLWWD

IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDDWDW

Head-to-head

IK Oddevold 1–2 IFK Varnamo (3 last)

IFK Varnamo3-1IK Oddevold
IFK Varnamo1-0IK Oddevold
IK Oddevold3-1IFK Varnamo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Oddevold 1528 · IFK Varnamo 1550

	IK Oddevold	Draw	IFK Varnamo
Our model	44%	28%	29%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IFK Varnamo: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Oddevold	IFK Varnamo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:23 +4’	2.05	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Oddevold 1–0–2 IFK Varnamo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	3-1 HT 1-1	IK Oddevold
31/08/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	IFK Varnamo	1-0 HT 1-0	IK Oddevold
24/06/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	IK Oddevold	3-1 HT 2-0	IFK Varnamo

Standings · Sweden Superettan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	24	16	4	4	45	15	52
2	Falkenbergs FF	24	13	5	6	46	33	44
3	Ostersunds FK	24	11	9	4	33	24	42
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	24	12	5	7	41	31	41
5	IK Oddevold	24	9	9	6	37	32	36
6	Nordic United FC	24	9	9	6	37	36	36
7	Landskrona BoIS	23	9	7	7	31	25	34
8	Sandvikens IF	23	9	6	8	38	30	33
9	Osters IF	23	10	3	10	34	34	33
10	Helsingborg	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
11	IFK Varnamo	23	7	5	11	30	41	26
12	Ljungskile	24	6	7	11	29	35	25
13	Orebro SK	24	5	9	10	25	35	24
14	Norrby IF	24	4	11	9	28	35	23
15	IK Brage	23	5	7	11	36	44	22
16	GIF Sundsvall	23	5	1	17	16	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Oddevold	IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Helsingborg	3-1 W	2-1 W
Landskrona BoIS	1-1 D	1-1 D
Ljungskile	1-0 W	1-0 W
Orebro SK	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Varnamo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Oddevold

LDDWDWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
09/09	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/09	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-3	1-3	7	5	L
23/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	2-1	3-1	5	6	W
14/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
08/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
27/07	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
18/07	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-4	5	2	L

IFK Varnamo

LLDWWDDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-2	8	3	W
05/09	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	12	0	D
29/08	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/08	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
16/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
11/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
03/08	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	3-1	6	2	W
25/07	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
19/07	Ljungskile Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-3	8	3	L
28/06	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Oddevold win (44%). Probabilities: IK Oddevold 44%, draw 27%, IFK Varnamo 29%.

How many goals are expected in IK Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo?

The model expects 2.75 goals (IK Oddevold 1.54 · IFK Varnamo 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Oddevold vs IFK Varnamo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.