Football · Sweden Superettan · 20/09, 13:00

Prediction: GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile

Team pages: GIF Sundsvall · Ljungskile

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

GIF Sundsvall1

Ljungskile1.42

1X2

26% 27% 46%

GIF Sundsvall Draw Ljungskile

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

GIF Sundsvall 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLWWL

Ljungskile 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDLDWL

Head-to-head

GIF Sundsvall 1–1–1 Ljungskile (3 last)

Ljungskile1-0GIF Sundsvall
Ljungskile0-0GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall5-2Ljungskile

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GIF Sundsvall 1432 · Ljungskile 1478

	GIF Sundsvall	Draw	Ljungskile
Our model	25%	29%	45%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ljungskile (rating 1432 vs 1478).
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GIF Sundsvall	Ljungskile
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	1.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +24’	3.30	3.50	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · GIF Sundsvall 1–1–1 Ljungskile

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden Superettan	Ljungskile	1-0 HT 1-0	GIF Sundsvall
26/10/20 Sweden Superettan	Ljungskile	0-0 HT 0-0	GIF Sundsvall
07/08/20 Sweden Superettan	GIF Sundsvall	5-2 HT 2-1	Ljungskile

Standings · Sweden Superettan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	24	16	4	4	45	15	52
2	Falkenbergs FF	24	13	5	6	46	33	44
3	Ostersunds FK	24	11	9	4	33	24	42
4	Varbergs BoIS FC	24	12	5	7	41	31	41
5	IK Oddevold	24	9	9	6	37	32	36
6	Nordic United FC	24	9	9	6	37	36	36
7	Landskrona BoIS	23	9	7	7	31	25	34
8	Sandvikens IF	23	9	6	8	38	30	33
9	Osters IF	23	10	3	10	34	34	33
10	Helsingborg	24	8	5	11	36	45	29
11	IFK Varnamo	23	7	5	11	30	41	26
12	Ljungskile	24	6	7	11	29	35	25
13	Orebro SK	24	5	9	10	25	35	24
14	Norrby IF	24	4	11	9	28	35	23
15	IK Brage	23	5	7	11	36	44	22
16	GIF Sundsvall	23	5	1	17	16	47	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GIF Sundsvall	Ljungskile
Norrby IF	1-0 W	2-1 W
Osters IF	0-1 L	2-3 L
Ostersunds FK	0-1 L	0-0 D
Sandvikens IF	0-5 L	0-3 L
Falkenbergs FF	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ljungskile (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GIF Sundsvall

LLLLLDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
05/09	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/08	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
25/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
15/08	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
07/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
01/08	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-3	0-5	1	2	L
26/07	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
20/07	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
27/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	4	3	L

Ljungskile

WLDLLDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
09/09	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
04/09	IFK Norrkoping Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
29/08	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
24/08	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	2-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
02/08	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
26/07	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	2-0	0-3	5	5	L
19/07	IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan	1-0	3-2	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ljungskile win (46%). Probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 26%, draw 27%, Ljungskile 46%.

How many goals are expected in GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile?

The model expects 2.42 goals (GIF Sundsvall 1 · Ljungskile 1.42), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in GIF Sundsvall vs Ljungskile?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.